621 FXUS65 KBOI 222106 AFDBOI SOUTHWEST IDAHO/SOUTHEAST OREGON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE IDAHO 206 PM MST SAT FEB 22 2003 WIND ADVISORY TURNING OUT WELL WITH 30-45 MPH WEST WINDS IN MAGIC VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AS W-E PRESSURE GRADIENT EASES. LATEST MODELS ADJUST TRACK OF NEXT PACIFIC STORM ENTERING CALIF FURTHER SOUTH WITH NRN SHIELD OF PCPN ALONG SRN IDAHO STATE LINE MON-TUE. NLY FLOW ALOFT CAN THEREFORE PENETRATE FURTHER SOUTH INTO U.S. BRINGING MORE OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS IN MONTANA TOWARD OUR CWA...AND THEN KEEPING IT HERE THROUGH MID WEEK. PREVIOUS MODELS TOOK THE WEAKENING CALIF STORM NEWD ACROSS ERN IDAHO WED...BUT NEW AVN KEEPS IT ALL FURTHER SOUTH. WE/LL CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE -SHSN IN TWIN FALLS COUNTY JUST IN CASE. GRADUAL MODERATION IN TEMPS LATTER PART OF WEEK WITH UPPER FLOW FINALLY BECOMING ZONAL NEXT SUNDAY. /L COLIN .BOI...WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 4PM TODAY IDAHO ZONE 16 (WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY). $$