580 
FXUS62 KTAE 271441
AFDTLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
940 AM EST MON JAN 27 2003

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING S INTO OUR CWFA WITH A REINFORCING SHOT 
OF LOWER DEWPOINTS. AT UPPER LEVELS...A FEW CI CONTINUE TO BE PUSHED 
S AS A VORT MAX DIVES S INTO THE BASE OF A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH 
OVER THE ERN USA. NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME FOR THE ZONE 
FORECASTS.

MARINE: MADE MINOR FIRST PERIOD ADJUSTMENTS TO WIND SPEEDS AND 
DIRECTIONS AND DROPPED THE EXERCISE CAUTION WORDING FOR THE OUTER 
WATERS.

FIRE WEATHER: WILL KEEP THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR FL ZONES.

.TLH...
AL...NONE. 
GA...NONE. 
FL...NONE.      
     RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL FLORIDA ZONES.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL FLORIDA        
          ZONES.

TJT

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.

**************************************************************
415 AM EST MON JAN 27 2003

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN AL AND 
CENTRAL GA...APPROACHING MY NW ZONES AND EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH 
THE CWA BY 12Z. TEMPS CURRENTLY RANGE FROM 30 INLAND TO 40 AT THE 
COAST...WITH DEW POINTS GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S AND WINDS 
GENERALLY NW AT 10 OR LESS. LOOKS LIKE THE FREEZE WARNING IS ON 
TRACK FOR THIS MORNING...AND IT ALSO LOOKS LIKE THE DAY SHIFT WILL 
NEED TO ISSUE A FREEZE WARNING FOR TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION:  STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WITH VERY COLD AIR WILL BUILD OVER 
THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN MOVE EAST AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES ON WEDNESDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY...WINDS WILL 
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH OVER MUCH OF CWFA...COULD PRODUCE WINDS 
INTO THE 30S. FREEZE WARNING LIKELY TONIGHT FOR ALL BUT IMMEDIATE 
FL COASTS. APPROACH OF NEXT FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL BRING NEXT 
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE WED-INTO EARLY FRI AS THE FRONT SLOWS OVER OUR 
AREA. CLEARING SKIES FRI AFTN-SUNDAY...TEMPS AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 
NORMAL WED THROUGH SUN. 

MARINE:  WINDS ARE STARTING TO INCREASE AND STILL EXPECTED TO REACH 
SCEC IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY.

FIRE WX: WITH DRYING AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT..RH VALUES WILL DROP 
RAPIDLY REQUIRING A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  

PRELIM NUMBERS...
TLH  53 25 61 35 0000
PFN  54 36 61 44 0000
DHN  49 29 59 44 0000
ABY  48 24 59 40 0000
VLD  51 24 60 37 0000
CTY  56 25 63 36 0000

.TLH...
AL...NONE. 
GA...NONE. 
FL...NONE.      
     RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL FLORIDA ZONES.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL FLORIDA        
          ZONES.      

AFD