486 
FXUS66 KLOX 302133
AFDLOX
SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
130 PM PST MON DEC 30 2002

VERY PLEASANT DAY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPS. A
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM IS APPROACHING THE CENTRAL COAST THIS AFTERNOON IN
A CLASSIC WARM-FRONTAL OR OVERRUNNING TYPE PATTERN. MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS WILL START TO INCREASE ACROSS OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND WE COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOP ALONG THE
CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING. THE MAIN COLD FRONT, WEAK AS IT IS, WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL COAST EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND WHATS LEFT
OF IT WILL PASS THROUGH THE LA BASIN AROUND NOON. THE 18Z MESO ETA IS
A LITTLE MORE BULLISH WITH THE LOW LVL MOISTURE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST, BOOSTING CONFIDENCE THAT WE WILL
GET MEASURABLE RAIN UP THERE TONIGHT. HOWEVER, WILL STILL BE
CONSERVATIVE WITH THE POPS, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION AS
THE CHANCES OF GETTING .01 DOWN HERE IS PROBABLY PRETTY SMALL.

BEYOND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TUESDAY, SKIES WILL START TO CLEAR UP WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY NEW YEARS MORNING. BOTH THE GFS AND ETA ARE
SHOWING A DECENT OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT NOT A
WHOLE LOT OF UPPER SUPPORT. AS A RESULT, WILL GO WITH SOME INCREASING
NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE ZONES NEW YEARS EVE AND NEW YEAR DAY BUT BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS. NEW YEARS DAY SHOULD BE BEAUTIFUL WITH SUNNY SKIES
AND WARMER TEMPS. WITH THICKNESSES RISING TO NEAR 560 AND OFFSHORE
FLOW, WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS INTO THE LOW 70S AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

A LITTLE WARMER EVEN ON THURSDAY BEFORE SOME CLOUDS AND COOLER TEMPS
MOVE IN FRIDAY. THIS COOLING TREND SHOULD BE BRIEF AS AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH WARMER TEMPS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

LAX 0200. WOFFORD

.LOX...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX).