357 
ACUS11 KWNS 100545
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100544 
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-100715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST SAT NOV 09 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IL/SRN IND/WRN KY/WRN TN/FAR NRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 741...

VALID 100544Z - 100715Z

LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR PARAMETERS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS FROM SERN IL/SRN IND SWD THROUGH WRN
KY/TN DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.


REGIONAL RADARS CONTINUE TO SHOW A CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS WITH AT
LEAST A COUPLE OF TORNADIC SIGNATURES OVER WRN TN.  ADDITIONAL
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS PERSIST OVER SERN IL/WRN KY MOVING TOWARD
SWRN INDIANA.  AREA VADS INDICATE WIND FIELDS REMAINING STRONG
WITHIN WW WITH VERY FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR VALUES /SFC-3 KM
SRH OF 500-700 M2/S2/ FOR A CONTINUED THREAT OF TORNADOES.  SOME
WEAKENING OF STORMS IS EXPECTED AS THEY TRACK EASTWARD INTO MORE
STABLE AIRMASS OVER SRN IND AND CENTRAL KY/MIDDLE TN...BUT SEVERE
STORMS REMAIN LIKELY WITHIN THE WW FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..PETERS.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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