000 
ACUS11 KWNS 100205
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100205 
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-100330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2160
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CST SAT NOV 09 2002

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR/SERN MO/SRN IL/WRN KY/WRN TN/NRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 740...

VALID 100205Z - 100330Z

LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR PARAMETERS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS FROM NERN AR/SERN MO
INTO NRN MS AND WRN PORTIONS OF TN/KY TO SRN IL.


REGIONAL RADARS SHOW STRONG STORMS EXTEND FROM FAR SRN IL/FAR
SERN MO SWWD INTO NERN AR/WRN TN...WITH SEVERAL STORMS HAVING
MID-LEVEL ROTATION.  CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN AREAL
COVERAGE WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS DEVELOPING OVER SRN MO.  PAH/MEM
VAD WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE 500-800 0-3 KM SRH VALUES
SUPPORTING A STRONG POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...DESPITE THE
AVAILABILITY OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

..PETERS.. 11/10/2002

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

37678846 37668708 36128815 34578922 34589054 34579186
36129084 37668983