000 
FXUS61 KCAR 092020
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
320 PM EST SAT NOV 9 2002

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH INTO THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AND
UP INTO QUEBEC TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
WELL OFF THE EAST COAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SUNDAY NIGHT AND
STALL NEARBY ON MONDAY. A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT INTO THE
NORTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVE AWAY ON TUESDAY. A SMALL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN ON WEDNESDAY.

DISCUSSION...
RIDGING OFF THE EAST COAST COMBINED WITH A STORM TRACK WEST OF NEW ENGLAND
WILL BRING A WARMER WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE
ARE CONFIDENT THE WEATHER IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE MILDER THAN IT HAS
BEEN LAST WEEK. HOWEVER...DETAILING THE TIMING OF ANY RAIN AND SHOWERS
WILL BE DIFFICULT SINCE THE INDIVIDUAL CENTERS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE NOT WELL
DEFINED.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTHEAST THROUGH QUEBEC WILL PULL A
WARM FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS...
MAINLY NORTH. SUNDAY WILL BE BREEZY AND MILDER...THEN ANOTHER SPOKE OF
ENERGY WILL COME THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE LOW
WILL PULL A WEAK COLD FRONT TOWARD THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT
WILL STALL NEARBY ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER LOW MIGRATES NORTH BRINGING A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS FOR MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY TO NORTHERN AREAS. WEAK RIDGING WILL
BUILD IN ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

THE COLDEST AIR OVER NORTH AMERICA WILL REMAIN LOCKED IN A DEEP UPPER
LEVEL VORTEX OVER HUDSON BAY. BY MID WEEK LOW PRESSURE WILL BE FORMING
ALONG THE EAST COAST...BUT IT APPEARS...UNLESS THERE IS STRONG BACKING OF
THE FLOW ALOFT...THE MIDWEEK LOW MAY MOVE OUT TO SEA.

COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR SEAS TONIGHT. GALE WARNING SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.

.CAR...SCA

MCB