353 FXUS64 KLIX 062152 AFDNEW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA 340 PM CST WED NOV 6 2002 SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN THE NEXT 7 DAYS. INITIAL H5 TROUGH HAS EXITED THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO BE FOLLOWED BY RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES WILL BE PROGRESSIVE INTO THE PLAINS BY LATE THU AND THEN PATTERN WILL FLATTEN TO A ZONAL FLOW. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL DIG ESE INTO THE WRN U.S. AND EVENTUALLY CARVE OUT A BROAD LONG-WAVE TROUGH IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION. INITIAL DISTURBANCE MOVING ENE OUT OF MAIN TROUGH IS NOT LIKELY TO BRING A FRONT SOUTH TO THE GULF. HOWEVER A STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY BRING A FRONT SE INTO THE GULF ALONG WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MON NIGHT. AIRMASS FOLLOWING THIS FRONT IS LIKELY TO HAVE TEMPS ABOUT THE SAME AS WITH THIS FRONT. MCB 40/67/44/74 0000 BTR 41/67/46/74 0000 MSY 50/66/50/75 0000 GPT 45/67/46/70 0000 .NEW...SMALL CRAFT ADVZY...COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 60 NM FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO ATCHAFALAYA BAY LA...NONE. MS...NONE. 05