866 
FXUS65 KTFX 170832
AFDTFX

SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
230 AM MDT THU OCT 17 2002

.SHORT TERM...NW FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES WITH WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE FLOW. MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE AND CLOUDS SINKING
SLOWLY SOUTH-WESTWARD. SURFACE TROF SETTING UP WITH TIGHTENING OF
THE SURFACE GRADIENT ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE WARMER TODAY WITH DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS. SURFACE FRONT
BACK-DOORS INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF STATE FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE APPROACHES NW AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

.EXTENDED...MODELS ARE HINTING AT ANOTHER SYSTEM TO MOVE OVER THE TOP
OF THE RIDGE ON SUNDAY AND MOVE DOWN THE EAST SLOPES OF CWA ON
MONDAY FORMING A SURFACE LOW WITH UPSLOPE CONDITIONS THROUGH
TUESDAY. WILL BRING IN MORE CLOUDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP. WILL LET AFTERNOON SHIFT LOOK AT NEW RUNS
AND DECIDE HOW MUCH OF A WEATHER CHANGE THERE MIGHT POSSIBLY BE.
CAMP

.CCF NUMBERS
GTF UU 065/038 062/036 063 07000
    UBBBB 034/059 034/055 035/060 036/063 036 00-1200000
CTB UU 062/033 060/031 058 07000
    BBBBB 031/057 031/052 032/058 033/061 033 00-1200000
HLN UU 065/032 063/033 064 07000
    UBBBB 032/063 033/056 034/059 035/063 035 00-1200000
BZN UU 063/025 062/026 064 07000
    UBBBB 026/060 026/057 027/061 028/063 028 0000100000
WEY UU 056/016 056/019 058 07000
    UBBBB 019/054 018/050 019/052 020/054 020 0000100000
DLN UU 063/030 063/030 064 07000
    UBBBB 030/060 023/054 024/058 025/060 025 0000100000
HVR BU 064/034 060/030 062 070-0
    UBBBB 030/058 028/055 029/060 030/063 030 00-1200000
LWT UU 063/034 060/030 061 070-0
    UBBBB 030/057 030/054 031/056 032/059 032 0011200000

.TFX...NONE.