038 
FXUS63 KFSD 282021
AFDFSD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
325 PM CDT SAT SEP 28 2002

SCT SHWRS OVER SERN CRNR OF AREA SHUD DCRS AND END THIS EVE. PLENT 
OF LO LVL MOISTR THAT WILL BE HARD TO GET RID OF. ALREADY AREAS OF F 
AND DZ AND THIS SHUD PERSIST MOST OF TNGT...THO MAY BE JUST A LTL F 
AND NO DZ NWRN PART OF AREA INCLUDG HON. THE DCRG CLDS SHUD WAIT TIL 
SUN AND NOT SURE HOW SLOW IT WILL BE BUT WILL GRDLY MAKE IT PTCLDY 
BY LATE AFTN. MEANWHILE DECNT INSTBLTY AND DVLPG WAA PATTRN LEADS TO 
KEEPNG THE MENTN OF TSTMS WE HAVE BEEN CARRYING...STARTG SRN/SWRN 
PART OF AREA BY END OF DAY AND SOME CHC OVER CWA SUN NGT. DRYNG BY 
MON EVEN AHD OF CDFNT SHUD CLR OUT PCPN THREAT FOR MON. THIS LEAVES 
THE NEXT EVENT WHICH IS A POTNTL RAIN EVENT UNDER SWRLY FLO ALF MON 
NGT AND TUE AFTER COOLR AIR SEEPS IN. FOR NOW WILL CONT TO ACCEPT 
AVN SOL OF NRN BRAMCH SHRTWV SHEARNG OFF THIS SWRLY FLOW AND BRING 
DRY WX FOR WED AND THU. IF THIS SJWRNG IS WEAKR THAN PROGGED THIS 
CUD EXTND SOME CLDS AND EVEN LGT RAIN INTO THESE DAYS. CHC SHWRS FRI 
WILL BE CONTD AS STG SHRTWV DIGGNG INTO PAC NW BACKX FLOW AGN. FOR 
NOW WILL GO WITH MRF SOLN OF KEEPNG DVLPD UPPR LOW SWRN U.S. S OF 
AREA AND/OR SHEARING OFF. MRF DOES COOL IT TOO MUCH THO IT DOES LOOK 
COOL FOR SAT. IN ANY EVENT WILL HOLD OFF RAIN/SNW FROM TDAS AVN SOLN 
FOR NOW AND JUST GO MOCLDY...BUT LOTS OF THINGS CUD HAPPEB THAT FAR 
AHD...AND IT WILL BE 5 DAYS INTO OCT BY THEN.

FSD...NONE
WILLIAMS