687 
FXUS62 KTAE 091344
AFDTLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
944 AM EDT MON SEP 9 2002

FIRST FEW VISIBLE SATELLITE PIX OF THE MORNING SHOW LOW CLOUDS 
EXTENDING FROM THE ERN BIG BEND COUNTIES NE TO JAX. THESE ARE 
STEADILY ERODING. CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE STREAMING OVERHEAD ACROSS OUR 
WRN ZONES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS TWO LARGE UPPER LEVEL 
CIRCULATIONS, ONE OVER S TX ASSOCIATED W/ THE REMNANTS OF FAY, AND 
STS GUSTAV OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. OUR CWFA REMAINS BETWEEN THE TWO 
SYSTEMS W/ DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE INDICATED ON THE WATER VAPOR 
IMAGERY. THE SURFACE FLOW IS NE AND DEW POINTS DROPPED INTO THE MID 
60S EARLIER THIS MORNING ACROSS OUR NRN ZONES.

12Z KTLH SOUNDING SHOW THE DRY AIR HAS SUBSIDED A BIT, 50-100 MB OR 
SO SINCE SUN MORNING, BUT THE PW REMAINS JUST OVER 1.5 INCHES. THE 
ELY WINDS HAVE DROPPED OFF CONSIDERABLY AND AVERAGE 10-15 KT BELOW 
700 MB, ALTHOUGH THE VAD WINDS ARE A BIT HIGHER. THIS FLOW SHOULD  
STILL BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING SHOWERS IN FROM THE E AND CURRENT 
ISOLATED POP DISTRIBUTION SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT. WILL UPDATE TEMPS 
TO FAVOR THE HIGHER END OF CURRENT RANGES.

MARINE: WINDS AND SEAS AT THE BUOYS SHOWING A GRADUAL DOWNWARD TREND 
AS ANTICIPATED. THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON, WITH ONSHORE 
WINDS DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST IN THE SEA BREEZE.

.TLH...
.AL...NONE.
.GA...NONE.
.FL...NONE.
      
WOOL