000 FNUS56 KEKA 181245 FWFEKA PRACTICE NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA FIRE WEATHER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE EUREKA CA 800 AM PDT SUN AUG 18 2002 DISCUSSION...WEAK IMPULSES RIPPLING THROUGH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST IS CAUSING THE TROUGH TO SLIGHTLY DEEPEN OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...IN EFFECT FORCING THE RIDGE A LITTLE SOUTHWARD. HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BRING A BRIEF COOLING OF INLAND AREAS THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AND HUMIDITIES WILL SLIGHTLY RISE. THE LOWER PRESSURE WILL ENHANCE THE MARINE LAYER WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER AND MOIST AIR PENETRATING INTO LOCAL COASTAL VALLEYS. EXPECT A STRONGER SEA LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT TODAY...WITH INCREASED WINDS OVER THE AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG COASTAL RIDGETOPS. ************************************************************* CAZ201-182330- REDWOOD COAST STRIP (ZONE 201)...FROM OREGON BORDER TO SHELTER COVE AND INLAND TO 1000 FEET IN ELEVATION. INCLUDES PORTIONS OF NPS AND CA REDWOOD PARKS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING FOG...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH MIXED HAZE AND SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-65. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MIN RH..............50% AWAY FROM THE COAST TO 83% NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 15 TO 25 MPH RIDGETOPS..........N 10 TO 20 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-54. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MAX RH..............77-100%. 24 HR TREND........UP 3% WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 10 TO 20 MPH RIDGETOPS..........N 10 TO 20 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SMOKE AND AREAS OF FOG. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-67. 24 HR TREND........UP 1 DEG MIN RH..............50% INCREASING 83% NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 15 TO 25 MPH RIDGETOPS..........N 20 TO 30 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FOG AND DRIZZLE. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG AND DRIZZLE. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. $$ ************************************************************* CAZ202-182330- MENDOCINO COAST (ZONE 202) FROM SHELTER COVE TO SONOMA COUNTY AND INLAND TO THE CREST OF THE COAST RANGE. INCLUDES JACKSON STATE FOREST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING. HAZE AND AREAS OF FOG. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 NEAR COAST TO 87 IN NEARBY COASTAL VALLEYS. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MIN RH..............21% COASTAL VALLEYS TO 70% NEAR COAST. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 15 TO 25 MPH RIDGETOPS..........NW 10 TO 20 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH HAZE AND PATCHY FOG. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-55. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MAX RH..............65-100%. 24 HR TREND........UP 3% WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 10 TO 20 MPH RIDGETOPS..........NW 10 TO 20 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AFTER MORNING CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 AT THE COAST TO 85 IN COASTAL VALLEYS. 24 HR TREND........DOWN 1 DEG MIN RH..............21% INLAND TO 70% AT THE COASDT. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING N 20 TO 30 MPH RIDGETOPS..........N 15 TO 25 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. $$ ************************************************************* CAZ203-182330- INTERIOR PORTIONS OF DEL NORTE AND HUMBOLDT COUNTIES...(ZONE 203) FROM COASTAL STRIP TO SISKIYOU COUNTY...EAST OF HWY 96 AND EAST OF SOUTH FORK MOUNTAIN. INCLUDES SIX RIVERS NF...WESTERN PORTION OF HOOPA AND HUU EAST OF COASTAL STRIP AND WEST OF HWY 96. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. HAZE AND SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-90. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MIN RH..............16-29%. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NW RIDGETOPS..........N 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NW LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. HAZE AND SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-58. 24 HR TREND........UP 1 DEG MAX RH..............58-84%. 24 HR TREND........UP 7% WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING N RIDGETOPS..........NW 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING N LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-88. 24 HR TREND........DOWN 2-4 DEG MIN RH..............16-29%. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 15 TO 25 MPH RIDGETOPS..........N 15 TO 25 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG AND DRIZZLE. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...SUNNY AFTER MORNING CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG AND DRIZZLE. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY MORNING FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY MORNING FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. $$ ************************************************************* CAZ204-182330- UPPER TRINITY RIVER...(ZONE 204) INCLUDES EASTERN PORTION OF HOOPA ...TRINITY NF AND CDF AREAS OF EASTERN TRINITY COUNTY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. HAZE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-98. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MIN RH..............11-21%. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 5 TO 15 MPH RIDGETOPS..........N 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NW LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. HAZE AND SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-59. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MAX RH..............21-35%. 24 HR TREND........DOWN 7% WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 5 TO 15 MPH RIDGETOPS..........NW 5 TO 15 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY, HAZY AND PATCHY SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-95. 24 HR TREND........DOWN 3-5 DEG. MIN RH..............11-21%. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 10 TO 20 MPH RIDGETOPS..........NW 10 TO 20 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TUESDAY...SUNNY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH. .WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ ************************************************************* CAZ276-182330- INTERIOR MENDOCINO COUNTY...(ZONE 276) MENDOCINO COUNTY EAST OF THE COASTAL STRIP. INCLUDES PORTIONS OF COVELO AND UPPER LAKE RDS OF MENDOCINO NF. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. HAZE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-97. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG MIN RH..............13-21%. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......N 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING W RIDGETOPS..........N 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING W LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. HAZE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-60. 24 HR TREND........UP 6 DEG MAX RH..............35-70%. 24 HR TREND........DOWN 10% WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 10 TO 15 MPH RIDGETOPS..........NW 10 TO 15 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-92. 24 HR TREND........DOWN 3-5 DEG MIN RH..............13-21%. 24 HR TREND........LTL CHG WIND: SLOPE/VALLEY.......NW 10 TO 20 MPH RIDGETOPS..........NW 10 TO 20 MPH LAL.................1 CWR (>.10)..........0% .MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH. .WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 23 (FRI) TO AUG 27 (TUE)...NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH NORMAL PRECIPITATION. ******************************************************************** EUREKA FIRE WEATHER FORECAST QUALITY CONTROL 1. HOW WELL DID THE FORECAST DISCUSSION DESCRIBE THE FIRE WEATHER PROBLEM OF THE DAY USING SIMPLE AND CONCISE TERMINOLOGY? (1 = EXTREMELY WELL...5 = HARDLY AT ALL) 2. HOW WELL DID THE SHADOW FIRE WEATHER FORECAST REPRESENT THE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH WERE OBSERVED IN YOUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY? (1 = EXTREMELY WELL...5 = HARDLY AT ALL) 3. DO YOU HAVE SUGGESTIONS AS TO HOW THE NWS CAN IMPROVE ITS FIRE WEATHER FORECAST? PLEASE E-MAIL YOUR RESPONSES TO EKA.FIREWEATHER@NOAA.GOV THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND COMMENTS $$ 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR AUG 23 (FRI) TO AUG 27 (TUE)...NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH NORMAL PRECIPITATION. ******************************************************************** EUREKA FIRE WEATHER FORECAST QUALITY CONTROL 1. HOW WELL DID THE FORECAST DISCUSSION DESCRIBE THE FIRE WEATHER PROBLEM OF THE DAY USING SIMPLE AND CONCISE TERMINOLOGY? (1 = EXTREMELY WELL...5 = HARDLY AT ALL) 2. HOW WELL DID THE SHADOW FIRE WEATHER FORECAST REPRESENT THE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH WERE OBSERVED IN YOUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY? (1 = EXTREMELY WELL...5 = HARDLY AT ALL) 3. DO YOU HAVE SUGGESTIONS AS TO HOW THE NWS CAN IMPROVE ITS FIRE WEATHER FORECAST? PLEASE E-MAIL YOUR RESPONSES TO EKA.FIREWEATHER@NOAA.GOV THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND COMMENTS $$