000 FNUS55 KFGZ 081444 FWFFGZ NORTHERN ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER FORECASTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 730 AM MST MON JUL 8 2002 RIDGETOP WINDS ARE 10,000 FOOT WINDS THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ################################################################# .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARIZONA... A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP THIS WEEK OVER THE GREAT BASIN. AS A RESULT THE UPPER FLOW ACROSS ARIZONA WILL TURN EASTERLY AND TAP INTO MOISTURE OVER NEW MEXICO. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASING THREAT OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN ARIZONA DURING THE WEEK. ZONE 303 (FWX ZONES 6-7-12-18-22) AZZ004>006-015-038-082245- GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS- INCLUDING GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...NO. RIM...PAGE...LEES FERRY ...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA...FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...SEDONA... VILLAGE OF OAK CREEK 730 AM MST MON JUL 8 2002 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER: WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM...OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE. MAXIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 9000 FT): 84 TO 94 TRENDS: LITTLE CHANGE MAXIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): 94 TO 104 TRENDS: DOWN 6 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (6000 TO 9000 FT): 10 TO 16 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 MINIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): 12 TO 17 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 2 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 0 HAINES INDEX: 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM...OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS MINIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 9000 FT): 46 TO 58 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MINIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): 56 TO 68 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MAXIMUM RH (6000 TO 9000 FT): 22 TO 37 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 MAXIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): 20 TO 35 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 8 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): EAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 2 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 0 PCT .TOMORROW... SKY/WEATHER: BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAXIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 9000 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MAXIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (6000 TO 9000 FT): UP 0 TO 2 MINIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): UP 0 TO 2 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH HAINES INDEX (OUTLOOK): 5 $$ZONE 302 (FWX ZONES 17-20-21-23) AZZ007-008-018-037-082245- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- INCLUDING VALLE...PRESCOTT...CROWN KING...COTTONWOOD ...CAMP VERDE...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG 730 AM MST MON JUL 8 2002 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM TEMPS (4500 TO 6500 FT): 93 TO 101 TRENDS: UP 2 DEGREES MAXIMUM TEMPS (2500 TO 4500 FT): 101 TO 111 TRENDS: UP 2 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (4500 TO 6500 FT): 9 TO 15 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 MINIMUM RH (2500 TO 4500 FT): 10 TO 16 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): WINDS (RIDGETOP): LAL: 2 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 0 HAINES INDEX: 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MINIMUM TEMPS (4500 TO 6500 FT): 57 TO 69 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MINIMUM TEMPS (2500 TO 4500 FT): 67 TO 78 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MAXIMUM RH (4500 TO 6500 FT): 18 TO 32 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 MAXIMUM RH (2500 TO 4500 FT): 14 TO 28 PCT TRENDS: UP 2 TO 5 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 8 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): EAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 2 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 0 .TOMORROW... SKY/WEATHER: BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAXIMUM TEMPS (4500 TO 6500 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MAXIMUM TEMPS (2500 TO 4500 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (4500 TO 6500 FT): UP 0 TO 2 MINIMUM RH (2500 TO 4500 FT): UP 0 TO 2 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH HAINES INDEX (OUTLOOK): 5 $$ZONE 304 (FWX ZONES 8>11-13>16) AZZ009>014-039-040-082245- BLACK MESA AREA-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- CHINLE VALLEY-NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO...NAVAJO...APACHE COUNTY- INCLUDING...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...WUPATKI N.M....CANYON DE CHELLY ...CHINLE...WINSLOW...SNOWFLAKE...ST JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE 730 AM MST MON JUL 8 2002 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 8000 FT): 90 TO 98 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MAXIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): 96 TO 102 TRENDS: DOWN 4 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (6000 TO 8000 FT): 15-20 PCT TRENDS: UP 0 TO 2 MINIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): 12-18 PCT TRENDS: UP 0 TO 2 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 2 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 0 HAINES INDEX: 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MINIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 8000 FT): 50 TO 60 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MINIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): 56 TO 66 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MAXIMUM RH (6000 TO 8000 FT): 65 TO 85 PCT TRENDS: UP 5 TO 10 MAXIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): 40 TO 60 PCT TRENDS: UP 5 TO 10 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 8 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): EAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 2 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 0 .TOMORROW... SKY/WEATHER: BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAXIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 8000 FT): DOWN 3 DEGREES MAXIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (6000 TO 8000 FT): UP 2 TO 5 MINIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): UP 2 TO 5 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH HAINES INDEX (OUTLOOK): 5 $$ZONE 308 (FWX ZONES 19-24) AZZ016-017-082245- EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES ...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP 730 AM MST MON JUL 8 2002 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAXIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 8000 FT): 82 TO 88 TRENDS: LITTLE CHANGE MAXIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): 86 TO 102 TRENDS: DOWN 4 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (6000 TO 8000 FT): 10 TO 15 PCT TRENDS: UP 0 TO 2 MINIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): 8 TO 13 PCT TRENDS: UP 0 TO 2 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 3 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 10 PCT HAINES INDEX: 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS EVENING...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING OVERNIGHT. MINIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 8000 FT): 41 TO 51 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MINIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): 50 TO 64 TRENDS: UP 3 DEGREES MAXIMUM RH (6000 TO 8000 FT): 65 TO 85 PCT TRENDS: UP 5 TO 10 MAXIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): 40 TO 60 PCT TRENDS: UP 5 TO 10 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 8 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): EAST 5 TO 10 MPH LAL: 3 CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 10 PCT .TOMORROW... SKY/WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAXIMUM TEMPS (6000 TO 8000 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MAXIMUM TEMPS (4000 TO 6000 FT): DOWN 4 DEGREES MINIMUM RH (6000 TO 8000 FT): UP 2 TO 5 MINIMUM RH (4000 TO 6000 FT): UP 2 TO 5 WINDS (20 FT - SLOPE/VALLEY): UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS (RIDGETOP): NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH HAINES INDEX (OUTLOOK): 5 $$################################################################# VENTILATION DATA... VENTILATION MIXING HEIGHT TRANSPORT WIND FLAGSTAFF VERY GOOD 13000 FT NORTHEAST AT 7 KTS WHITERIVER VERY GOOD 14000 FT NORTHEAST AT 6 KTS OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW... FLAGSTAFF VERY GOOD 10000 FT EAST AT 8 KTS WHITERIVER VERY GOOD 11000 FT EAST AT 7 KTS $$