FXUS64 KMAF 140724
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
230 AM CDT THU JUN 13 2002

AREA RADARS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
ORGANIZING OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WITH OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING
EAST OF KLBB.  COLD FRONT IS ORIENTED FROM CENTRAL TEXAS...WEST AND
THEN NORTH ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS.  LOW CLOUDS ARE IN PLACE
ACROSS A LARGE PART OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE SOUTH PLAINS IN
UPSLOPE FLOW.

EXPECT LOW CLOUDS TO EXPAND AND EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO AT LEAST
NORTHERN HALF OF CWA.  EASTERN NEW MEXICO STORMS WILL PICK UP STEAM
AND TRANSIT MAINLY THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF THE AREA...WITH
STORMS EAST OF KLBB GRAZING THE NORTHEAST BASIN. BEST CHANCES FOR
RAIN ACROSS MOST AREAS TODAY WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
COMPLEXES...DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE NORTH...AND
POSSIBLY REGENERATING THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE
SOUTH. WITH SLOW MOVEMENT OF COMPLEX...WILL HAVE TO WATCH HEAVY
RAINFALL POTENTIAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ZONES THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING.

AIRMASS SHOULD BE SLOW TO RECOVER ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA IN THE
WAKE OF THE MORNING CONVECTION...BUT CAN NOT RULE OUR A FEW
ISOLATED STORMS ALONG THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS.  HIGHEST
POPS THIS EVENING WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTH...IN PROXIMITY TO
BOUNDARY.

WARM UP EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY.  WILL CONTINUE SLIGHT CHANCE LATE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT WILL BE POISED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS BY LATE SATURDAY...WITH A SOUTHWARD SURGE INTO THE
AREA SUNDAY.

PRELIMINARY CCF...
MAF   084/065/093/068  3002
LSA   083/064/091/068  3002
6R6   088/071/093/074  2300
MRF   083/061/093/064  3200
CNM   085/063/099/066  4-32

.MAF...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

LINDLEY