000 
FXUS64 KLUB 131828
AFDLBB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
130 PM CDT THU JUN 13 2002

OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LOOKS TO BE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA AS OF 18Z. 
ANOTHER FRONT EXTENDS FROM OUR NORTHWEST ZONES BACK TO THE 
NORTHEAST. STORMS MAY INITIATE LATER THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THIS FRONT. 
OTHER POSSIBILITY IS IF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WEAKENS AND DRIFTS BACK 
NORTH. WILL HAVE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCE TONIGHT WESTERN ZONES. ANOTHER 
FACTOR FAVORING HIGH CHANCE WEST IS THE POSSIBILITY OF ORGANIZED 
STORMS, WHICH MAY INITIATE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO OUR WEST OR 
NORTHWEST, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. LINGERING CHANCE FRIDAY 
MORNING, ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST, THEN SURFACE HIGH PUSHES IN AND 
CHANCE OF STORMS DIMINISHES. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS QUIET, ALTHOUGH WILL 
WATCH FOR NORTHWEST FLOW ACTIVITY. FOR NOW WILL FORECAST THIS TO 
REMAIN NORTH OF OUR AREA. BELIEVE CIN WILL HOLD SATURDAY AFTERNOON 
WITH LACK OF APPARENT LOW LEVEL FOCUS, AS COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS. 
CHANCE OF NORTHWEST FLOW NOCTURNAL ACTIVITY AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. 
CONTINUED CHANCE MAINLY AFTERNOON/NIGHT ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK. 
MRF BUILDS THE RIDGE BY LATE WEEK WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH CHANCE.

PRELIMINARY:
FRI 63/82/60/89 62-- TIA 60/83/63/93 62-- CDS 66/83/64/93 2111
BNF 63/85/63/97 640- LUB 63/85/63/94 52-- ASP 67/85/63/93 32--

.LUB...NONE.