506 
FXUS65 KABQ 032229
AFDABQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
430 PM MDT MON JUN 3 2002

HAVENT SEEN ANY LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER CWA YET TODAY AND WITH TROF 
APPRCHG THINK THERE IS STILL SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THIS EVENING. LITTLE 
OR NO RAIN REACHING THE GROUND IN THE WEST OR CENTRAL. FRONTS COMING 
IN FROM THE WEST AND NORTHEAST BEGINNING TONIGHT. LOOKS LIKE WELL 
HAVE AN EAST WIND FOR AT LEAST A WHILE TUE AFTN AND EVENING IN ABQ. 
THINK THIS IS OUR BEST SHOT FOR RAIN WITH EAST WIND BRINGING IN MORE 
MOISTURE AND SETTING UP CONVERGENCE ZONE.

STRONG SHORTWAVE DYNAMICS COMBINED WITH SFC FRONT AND LOW 50S DEWPTS 
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN TO THE 
EAST. THE FURTHER EAST...THE HIGHER THE DEWPOINTS AND THUS HIGHER 
POPS. AVN AND ETA DIFFER DRAMATICALLY ON WHAT TO DO WITH INCOMING 
TROF. THE WAY I SEE THINGS...IT REALLY DOESNT MATTER WHICH SOLN IS 
RIGHT. THE ETA TAKE IT SO FAR OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST THAT IT WONT 
AFFECT US ANYMORE. THE AVN BUILDS IN A STRONGER RIDGE FROM THE 
WEST...WHICH JUST PUSHES THE TROF AWAY. EITHER WAY...THE EXTENDED 
LOOKS DRY. JWS

ABQ BB 058/083 056/078 059 46123
SAF BB 049/078 048/074 048 46134
TCC BB 059/077 053/075 056 46146

.ABQ...NONE.