FXUS61 KPBZ 031439
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1035 PM EDT MON JUN 3 2002


TOUGH FORECAST COMING UP FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  WARM FRONT WORKING ITS 
WAY NORTH THRU KY ATTM...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION FIRING UP NORTH OF 
THE FRONT ACRS WRN OH.  FARTHER NORTH...REMNANTS FM OVERNIGHT MCS 
OVER SRN WI APPEARED TO BE WEAKENING EARLIER THIS MORNING...BUT TSRA 
AGAIN FIRING UP ALG OUTFLOW AS THIS SYTEM DIVES SOUTH INTO SRN 
MI/NRN IN.  GIVEN ALL OF THIS...WL BEEF UP TSRA MENTION ACRS AREA 
FOR THIS AFTERNOON TO INCLUDE MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN/GUSTY WINDS.  
AGREE WITH SPC DAY ONE DISC...AS I AM ALSO GETTING NERVOUS ABOUT 
TSRA FORMING N OF WARM FRONT IN AREA OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR/HIGH 
HELICITY VALUES...WL WATCH CLOSELY.  

FOR TONIGHT...WL CONT WITH THOUGHT OF HEAVY RAIN AS WARM FRONT 
DRAPES ACRS CWA.  CONCERN FOR TONIGHT SHIFTS TO TRAINING CELLS ALONG 
WARM FRONT WITH WNW FLOW ALOFT.  CURRENT FCST ADDRESSES THIS CONCERN 
WELL SO NO CHANGES BEYOND FIRST PD FOR UPDT.  

STRAGER       

.PBZ...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.