FXAK68 PAFC 030601
AFDAFC

SOUTH/SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1000 PM ADT MON JUN 2 2002

ANALYSIS...STRONG THERMAL TROUGH STILL EVIDENT OVER THE INTERIOR.
AXIS OF STRONGEST CAPE/VT VALUES RUN NE/SW FROM THE UPPER YUKON
VALLEY TO THE DELTA. THE MAJORITY OF LIGHTNING STRIKES(OVER 1500)
OCCURRED ALONG THIS AXIS. CAPE VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE AS
HIGH MON. WEAK RIDGING CONTINUES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA...HOWEVER...A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA
BROUGHT SOME LIGHT RAIN AND SHOWERS. WEAK LOW SOUTH OF PADU
CONTINUES QUASI-STATIONARY. 

FORECASTS...EXPECT THE MAJORITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MON
TO BE ALONG THE THERMAL TROUGH AND TO A LESSER EXTENT OVER THE 
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN. LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LIGHT RAIN OR SHOWERS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA WITH WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING INTO THE AREA. FEW SHOWERS
OVER THE ALASKA PEN AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS LOW CONTINUES TO
HOLD SOUTH OF THE AREA. LOW CLOUDS WITH SOME FOG LIKELY OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE ALEUTIANS AND PRIBILOFS MON. 

.AFC...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC JUN 02