000 
FXUS64 KTSA 291040
AFDTUL

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
540 AM CDT WED MAY 29 2002

UPDATED FOR DENSE FOG ADVISORY....


UPPER LOW THIS MORNING CONTINUING TO DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST 
ACROSS THE AREA.  HEAVY RAIN THREAT HAS SHIFTED GENERALLY INTO 
ARKANSAS ZONES THIS MORNING AND WILL REDEFINE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR 
THOSE ZONES INCLUDING JUST A FEW FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA ZONES ALONG 
THE STATE LINE.  SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED NEAR THE FAR 
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE BY MIDDAY...THEN GENERALLY IN THE 
AR/LA/TX REGION BY 00Z.  

BEYOND TODAY WILL CONTINUE THE DOWNWARD TREND IN PRECIP 
CHANCES...BUT WILL PROBABLY HOLD ON TO AT LEAST SOME LOW POPS FOR 
MOST ALL AREAS INTO TONIGHT.  LOW POPS STILL LINGERING IN SOUTHERN 
AND EASTERN AREAS INTO THURSDAY....THEN THINGS SHOULD DRY OUT FOR 
LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE AREA WILL GIVE US A TASTE OF SUMMER BY 
THE WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME TEMPS SATURDAY/SUNDAY/MONDAY APPROACHING 90 
DEGREES.  WILL ALSO REMAIN QUITE WARM DURING THE NIGHTS.  NEXT FRONT 
WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY...BUT FOR NOW 
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP TUESDAY DRY.

FCSTID = 4

TUL  80  62  85  62 /  30  20  21  10
FSM  75  63  80  63 /  70  40  30  10
MLC  79  63  83  63 /  40  30  20  10
BVO  81  61  86  61 /  30  20  10  10
FYV  75  60  79  60 /  70  40  20  10
BYV  74  59  78  59 /  70  40  20  10
MIO  78  61  82  61 /  40  30  20  10
MKO  78  63  83  63 /  40  30  20  10
F10  79  63  84  63 /  40  30  20  10
HHW  78  64  83  64 /  40  40  30  10

.TSA...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 400 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ZONES
ARZ001>002...ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020...ARZ029.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 400 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ZONES OKZ069...
OKZ072...OKZ076.
     DENSE FOG ADVISORY THIS MORNING FOR ZONES OK054>067.