000 
WWUS83 KEAX 161058
SPSMCI
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
557 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2002

* HAZARDS EXPECTED -
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.
AREAS THREATENED WILL MAINLY BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI 
RIVER.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OR RIVER 
FLOODING. AREAS THREATENED INCLUDE THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA.

* SPOTTER ACTIVATION -
MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSOURI AND KANSAS LATE THIS 
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

DISCUSSION: SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
REGION THIS MORNING.  THESE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.  
HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WHICH WILL AGGRAVATE 
ALREADY SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS.  LATER THIS AFTERNOON...A 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SINK SOUTH TO NEAR AN I-70 LINE.  DEPENDING ON 
HOW MUCH THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE 
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONT.  

YET ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING AND 
OVERNIGHT.  THESE STORMS WILL INITIATE IN WESTERN KANSAS...AND 
BECOME A LINE OF STORMS BY THE TIME THEY REACH EASTERN KANSAS AND 
WESTERN MISSOURI.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH 
DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 
TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE HEAVIEST 
PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS CENTRAL MISSOURI AS THE 
NIGHT PROGRESSES.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

LVQ