000 
FXUS63 KFSD 062013
AFDFSD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
315 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2002

MODELS AND ONSET OF PRECIP SLOWER THAN PREV RUNS...AND WILL GO ALONG 
BASED ON CURRENT SFC AND SAT PICS...NOT SHOWING MUCH SIGN OF RETURN 
SLY FLOW IN PLAINS YET. NGM/ETA REALLY WEAK AND SLOW WITH RETURN 
FLOW THRU TUE NGT...AND AVN MORE AGGRESSIVE AND LIT BTR AS IT WOULD 
NOT TAKE MUCH RETURN FLOW OF GULF MOISTURE TO CAUSE DVLPMT OF SHWRS 
AND A FEW TSTMS BY LATE TUE THRU TUE NGT. WILL ALSO PUT HIGH POPS 
FOR WED MAINLY ERN HLF CWA WITH INVERTED SFC TROF AND TRANSITION FM 
WARM ADV LIFT TO WRAPAROUND. NGM APPEARS TOO FAR N WITH WARM AIR...
AND WILL KEEP COOL BIAS THRU FCST PERIOD. WARMUP FINALLY FOR FRI AND 
BEYOND...WITH BEST CHC SHWRS/TSTMS FOR SAT. WENT DRY WRN CWA FOR SUN 
AND ENTIRE CWA FOR MON AS NO GOOD TRIGGER FOR SIG PRECIP.

.FSD...NONE
RSR