000 
FXUS61 KBGM 031856
AFDBGM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
255 PM EDT FRI MAY 3 2002

CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH TRAILING SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND SYNOPTIC TROUGH 
AXIS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE FA. EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR 
LATER TONIGHT AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES CENTERED JUST TO THE 
SOUTH OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL BE SUBSIDING THIS EVE AS WELL. ALL OF 
THIS IMPLIES A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING NIGHT. WILL THEREFORE 
CONTINUE THE FROST ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THE FINGER 
LAKES...WRN MOHAWK VALLEY AND THE WYOMING VALLEY IN PA. 

SATURDAY LOOKS SUNNY AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE E. TEMPS 
WILL BE MORE SEASONABLE. A MID/UPPER LVL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
FA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE 
AREA ON SUNDAY AS WELL. ALL THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON KEEPING 
THE FA DRY DURING THIS TIME. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE DUE TO THE LACK 
OF LOW LVL MOISTURE. THE MAIN EFFECT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE AN 
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEASONABLE. 

WENT WITH A BLEND OF FWC/MAV GUIDANCE TEMPS WHERE DIFFERENCES WERE 
NOTED.   

.BGM...FROST ADVISORY TONIGHT NYZ015>018-036-037-PAZ043-044-047

SMF