000 FXUS64 KTSA 031638 AFDTUL EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 1130 AM CDT FRI MAY 3 2002 HV UPDATED ZNS AND GRIDS TO REFLECT LOWER POPS FOR THE AFTN HRS. SCT SHRA/TSRA HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS FAR EC OK/WC AR. ACTIVITY IS ELEVATED IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING UPR SHORTWAVE. LAPSE RATES ARE NOT ALL THAT STEEP...AND ELCAPES NOT ALL THAT HIGH ATTM. DON/T EXPECT ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME SMALL HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. OTRW...REMAINDER OF FCST LOOKS GOOD ATTM...AND HV MADE NO OTHER CHGS. MANNING FCSTID = 24 .TSA... AR...NONE. OK...NONE.