000 FXUS64 KTSA 020605 AFDTUL EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 105 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2002 SHORT-TERM UPDATE... LATEST 88D VELOCITY DATA SHOW DEPTH OF COLD AIR UP TO 2700 FEET IN TULSA AREA. FOR STORMS IN MAYES COUNTY...ANY CIRCULATIONS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD STAY ALOFT IN WARM AIR. FOR CHEROKEE/ADAIR COUNTIES STORM...INITIAL WIND SHIFT IS SOUTH OF THIS CELL BUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS TO BE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY...SO CANNOT SAY THAT CIRCULATIONS WOULD BE RESTRICTED FROM APPROACHING GROUND AS COMPARED TO FARTHER NORTH. FCSTID = 29 .TSA... AR...NONE. OK...NONE. MATHEWS