000 
FXUS62 KILM 260622
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, NC
225 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2002

COLD FRONT WELL OFF THE SE NC COAST...TRAILING BACK TO NEAR CHS AT 
06Z. IR IMAGERY SHOWING PLENTY OF CI TO THE W AND EXPECT TO BE 
AFFECTED BY PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS MOST OF THE DAY AS 250 MB JET 
MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC. MODELS SPREAD MOISTURE 
CURRENTLY OVER ERN OK QUICKLY INTO THE CWA BY 00Z SAT SO WILL 
THEREFORE INTRODUCE LOW CHANCE POPS TONIGHT. ETA-AVN SIMILAR IN 
LIFTING THE WARM FRONT BACK OVER US DURING THE DAY SAT SO WILL 
MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE POPS. BREEZY SW WINDS EXPECTED SUN AS DEEP LOW 
PRES MOVES ACROSS THE SRN GREAT LAKES REGION. UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL 
YIELD ANOTHER DAY OF LOW CHANCE POPS FOR POTENTIAL AFTN TSTMS SUN.  
AVN HAS SLOWED THE COLD FRONT DOWN...KEEPING IT WEST OF THE CWA 
UNTIL LATE MON AFTN. LOOKS LIKE DEEPEST MOISTURE PUSHES WELL 
OFFSHORE SUN NIGHT SO WONT INCLUDE A POP MON.

MOS TEMPS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND APPEAR REASONABLE WITH THE EXCEPTION 
OF SAT. WITH ANTICIPATED CLOUD COVER AND POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP DURING 
THE DAY...FWC MAY BE TOO WARM SO WILL BLEND WITH COOLER MAV.

CWF: POST-FRONTAL SURGE WILL DIMINISH DURING THE DAY...HOWEVER MAY 
SEE 5-6 FT SEAS EARLY. WILL TREND CONDITIONS BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS BY 
LATE MORNING. NE WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH SAT UNTIL WARM FRONT 
LIFTS N AND WINDS BECOME S SAT NIGHT.

FCSTID = 33
ILM   72  54  70  63 /   0  30  30  30
LBT   72  51  70  60 /   0  30  30  30
FLO   74  52  71  61 /   0  30  30  30
MYR   71  54  70  64 /   0  30  30  30

.ILM...
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

CRM