094 
FXUS62 KCHS 230645
AFDCHS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
245 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2002

ZFP:
PERSISTENCE FCST THIS PACKAGE. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE TODAY AND WED WITH
TEMPS LIKELY FAILING TO REACH 80 DEGREES AFTER 3 DAYS OF 90+ HEAT.
WINDS WILL BE BRIEFLY GUSTY ALG THE COAST THIS MORNING WITH BREEZES
DIMINISHING THIS AFTN AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO THE MID ATLC AREA.
LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALSO RULE OUT A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WX THREAT TODAY.

TONIGHT...A FEW MID TO UPPER 40S READINGS POSSIBLE INLAND TONIGHT BUT
WILL RANGE LOWS FROM NEAR 50 INLAND TO 55-60 IMMEDIATE COAST. ON 
WED...NOT SOLD ON MUCH CU/SC FORMATION...WE SHOULD AT LEAST SEE SOME 
SCT MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS AT TIMES.

THE NEXT FRONT ON THU...AVN TIMING APPEARS JUST A BIT QUICK AND PREFER
THE 60 HOUR ETA SOLUTION THIS MORNING. THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR THE FAINT
POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOW LVL MCON BUT WILL LOWER THU POPS FROM 30 TO 
20 PCNT AS ANY HOPE OF GULF MOISTURE GETS SHUT-OFF EARLY IN THE DAY. 
HIGH PRES BEHIND THIS FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE DURING THE WEEKEND WITH 
ANOTHER CHC OF RNFL IN THE SUN/MON TIME FRAME.

CWF:
2-3 MB PRES RISES SINCE 04Z WERE MOVING SWD THRU EASTERN NC EARLY 
THIS MORNING. ANY SCA CONDITIONS WE REACH WILL PROBABLY BE MARGINAL
AND SHORT LIVED...BUT PREFER TO CONTINUE SCA THIS PACKAGE AS SURGING
HAS NOT YET REACHED OUR MARINE FA. WILL CONTINUE THE PREVIOUS TRENDS
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PACKAGE.

CHS   77  52  77  60 /   0   0   0  10
SAV   78  53  79  61 /   0   0   0  10
CHL   73  60  73  64 /   0   0   0  10
NBC   77  54  77  63 /   0   0   0  10
RBW   77  50  77  59 /   0   0   0  10

.CHS...
GA...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ354-374.
SC...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ350-352.