000 
FXUS64 KLUB 260713
AFDLBB

SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
115 AM CST TUE MAR 26 2002

TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN AN UPWARD TREND THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE 
REMNANTS OF THE COOLER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS EAST. WINDS WILL 
GRADUALLY COME AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH TODAY WITH ABUNDANT 
SUNSHINE. CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN STREAMING ACROSS WEST 
TEXAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. 

THE HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW SPINNING OFF THE 
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST. WATER VAPOR ANIMATION DEPICTS A DECENT 
AMOUNT OF HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST ASSOCIATED 
WITH THIS SYSTEM. ALL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THIS HIGH LEVEL 
MOISTURE WILL MOVE OVER OUR REGION. THE THICKNESS OF THE CLOUDS MAY 
INHIBIT MAX TEMPS A BIT AND HINDER LOW TEMPS...WHICH MAY BE WARMER 
ESPECIALLY WED NIGHT.

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE REMAINS IN THE LATER PERIODS CONCERNING THE 
LOW SPINNING OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN 
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BEGINNING THURSDAY 
NIGHT. THIS SCENARIO LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE ONE LAST WEEK AS FAR AS 
SURFACE PRESSURE...THE UPPER AIR PATTERN AND MOISTURE IS CONCERNED.
MODELS DEPICTING A STRONG SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING IN FAR WEST TEXAS 
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THIS APPEARS TO SHIFT THE SURFACE WINDS ACROSS 
WEST TEXAS TO THE EAST AND ULTIMATELY NORTH AND NORTHEAST BY 
SATURDAY EVENING. WILL ADD A CHANCE OF RAIN TO FRIDAY PERIOD FOR ALL 
AREAS. THIS LOOKS LIKE A LATE AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT 
THUNDERSTORM EVENT. THE RAIN WILL (HOPEFULLY) CONTINUE INTO 
SATURDAY. ALL THIS HINDERS ON HOW WELL THE MODELS HAVE HANDLED THE 
SPEED AND DYNAMICS  OF THIS SYSTEM AS OF THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME 
IT LOOKS LIKE A GOOD SOAKING RAIN EVENT.  

PRELIMINARY:
FRIONA     62/36/75/46  0000
TULIA      60/35/73/45  0000
BROWNFIELD 62/39/75/47  0000 
LUBBOCK    61/39/72/48  0000
CHILDRESS  57/37/70/48  0000 
ASPERMONT  57/40/72/52  0000 

.LUB...NONE.
AC