000 
FXUS61 KCLE 200222 CCA
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
920 PM EST TUE MAR 19 2002

SIGNIFICANT PCPN STAYING S OF FCST AREA AND BELIEVE THIS WL CONT TO 
BE THE CASE AS BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND UPR SUPPORT WL RMN ACRS 
OH VLY SWRD. 18Z ETA AND LATEST RUC SHOW SFC LOW CROSSING E CNTRL OH 
ALTHO CUD BE A SHADE TOO FAR N. PCPN SHUD RDVLP A BIT FARTHER N 
OVNGT MAINLY ACRS NE OH/NW PA. ENE WIND SHUD HOLD ACRS NW OH OVGNT 
AND WL ADJUST WIND FCST. AREAS OF RAIN/SNOW ACRS W GRTLKS ATTM WITH 
CDFNT. MODELS SEEM TO LOSE THIS PCPN. AM WORRIED THAT RATHER THAN 
ENDING THE RAIN OR DRIZZLE CUD ACTUALLY RDVLP ACRS NE OH/NW PA WED 
AFTRN AS CAA DVLPS. WL TAKE OUT TIMING WED FROM CLE EWRD AND LWR 
TEMPS A CAT AS FLOW BCMS NNW. DRIER AIR SHUD WORK INTO ENTIRE FCST 
AREA BY WED NGT. NO OTHER CHANGES. UPDATE WL RUN ABT 945 PM.

.CLE...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.

KOSARIK