000 
FXUS61 KCLE 141909
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
210 PM EST THU MAR 14 2002

NR ZNL FLOW AT UPR LVLS BECMG MORE SW-NE TNGT AND FRI AS S/W CNTRL 
ROCKIES PULLS OFF TO NE...PUSHING A WK RDG THRU LWR LKS AND OH VLY 
BY 30 HRS. BACKSIDE OF RDG RMNS OVR AREA THRU 48 HRS AS ANOTHER S/W 
BREAKS OFF WRN TROF AND MOVS THRU GRT LKS ON SAT. UPR LVL TROF RMNS 
OVR WRN U.S. AS ADDNL S/WS ROTATE ARND ARCTIC CRCL LOW DIVE SOUTH 
OVR WRN U.S.   MDLS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGRMNT ON POSITION AND MVMNT OF 
SFC SYS THRU 60 HRS. LOW PRES CNTRL PLNS EJECTS TO NE AND ELONGATES 
FM GRT LKS TO SRN PLNS BY 24 HRS ALLOWING FOR SOME GULF MSTR TO BE 
CAUGHT UP IN THIS SYS AS IT MOVES ACRS CWA FRI AND FRI NGT.  NOT 
MUCH IN THE WAY OF PVA FIRST 24 HRS BUT ALL MDLS PT TWDS RAPID INCRS 
IN MN RH 18-24 HRS. POPS AND QPF PRETTY MUCH AT A MIN THRU TNGT PD 
SO WL LKLY LN TWDS KEEPING FAIRLY CLOSE TO FCST ALRDY OUT. ATTM WL 
PRBBLY GO WITH LOW CHC POPS E... WITH WRMFNT LFTG THRU THAT AREA AND 
W ...CLOSER TO AXIS OF HIGHER MN MSTR. WL TRY TO MAKE NO MENTION 
CNTRL AND SRN CNTYS. PVA STILL HANGS WELL BACK TO W THRU DAY FRI BUT 
PLENTY OF RH WITH SFC FNT IN AREA. WL PRBBLY GO WITH LKLY POPS MOST 
AREAS FRI AND LKLY W TO CAT E FRI NGT. ETA MDL LEADS THE WAY WITH 
DRYING THINGS OUT ON SAT. GUID TMPS FAIRLY CLOSE XCPT FOR HIGHS FRI. 
WL PRBBLY GO SOMEWHR IN THE MID GRND BTWN MDLS FOR FRI.  

.CLE...
.OH...NONE.
.PA...NONE. 

VRCEK