000 
FXUS61 KRLX 030741
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
242 AM EST SUN MAR 3 2002

ARCTIC INVASION TODAY/TONIGHT...QUITE POSSIBLE FINAL ENCORE THIS 
WINTER.  SPED COLD AIR UP FROM PACKAGE...BASICALLY USED LOW LEVEL 
TEMP FIELDS FROM ETA AND MADE ADJUSTMENTS.

LOWERED POPS A TAD TODAY GIVEN COVERAGE WITH FRONT...SHOWERS JUST 
BEGINNING TO REFIRE ALONG IT.  HAVE HIGHEST POPS NORTHEAST WHICH 
WILL ALSO WORK IN THE WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT.

BASICALLY LEFT POPS ALONE AFTER THAT AS UPSLOPE ACTIVITY GRADUALLY 
WANES LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE THE NUMBERS.

AT OR UNDER THE NUMBERS ON TEMPERATURES...LEANING TOWARD LOWER END 
IN THIS OUT OF SEASON ARCTIC BLAST.  ADJUSTED MINS TUE MORNING WITH 
LOWEST READINGS SOUTH AS CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH WARM FRONT STREAK 
ACROSS THE NORTH.  STILL OPTING TO LEAVE POPS OUT WITH THIS FOR NOW.

ONLY CHANGE IN EXTENDED IS TO REMOVE POPS SOUTHEAST...AM TEMPTED TO 
REMOVE ALTOGETHER BUT CONCERNED THERE IS MORE OF A LOW LEVEL PUSH OF 
COLD AIR THAN THE MODELS ARE PICKING UP ON RIGHT NOW.  THERE IS 
STILL PLENTY OF ARCTIC AIR TO BE RECKONED WITH UP IN THE NORTHERN 
HINTERLANDS...DESPITE THE PATTERN CHANGE GOING ON MID AND LATE WEEK.


.RLX...
WV...NONE.
VA...NONE.
KY...NONE.
OH...NONE.

.END / TRM