000 
FXUS65 KTFX 020306
AFDTFX

SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
810 PM MST FRI MAR 1 2002

...ZONES UPDATED AT 745 PM AND NO FURTHER CHANGES PLANNED...
...WILL UPDATE STATE FORECAST BY 930 PM...

.SHORT TERM...700 MB JET STREAK CURRENTLY MOVING OVER N CNTRL MT WITH
UPWARD OMEGA FORMING LOW CLOUDS AND FLURRIES OVER CHOUTEAU...FERGUS
AND JUDITH BASIN COUNTIES. UPDATED ZONES TO KEEP CLOUDS LINGERING
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. EXPECT THAT SKIES OVER CNTRL MT WILL CLEAR OUT ONCE
JET STREAK AND VORT LOBE SWING PAST. ALSO UPDATED SW ZONES TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND REMOVED MENTION OF EVENING PRECIP. GOLDBUTTE
OBSERVER REPORTED 16 BELOW AT 7 PM...SO DROPPED TEMPS A FEW MORE
DEGREES ALONG THE HI-LINE. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR RECORD LOWS AT HAVRE...
BUT CUT BANK RECORD APPEARS SAFE. MPJ

.EXTENDED...ECMWF HAS FINALLY COME AROUND TO THE MRF/AVN/UKMET
SOLUTION FOR THE 4-7 DAY PERIOD. NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE NRN
ROCKIES ON MONDAY BECOMES MORE WLY AS A POSITIVE TILT TROUGH DROPS
S THROUGH WRN CANADA ON TUESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS OVER SRN
MT ON TUESDAY MORNING...BUT QUICKLY MOVES OFF INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
AS ANOTHER COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE STATE.
COLD AIR WILL BE OVER-RUN BY MOIST PACIFIC FLOW AS SW FLOW ALOFT
DEVELOPS OVER THE STATE. TEMPS SHOULD WARM UP AGAIN ON FRIDAY AS WARM
SECTOR OF NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. MPJ

.CCF NUMBERS
GTF UN 908/018 004/035 023 07000
   NJEEJ 035/015 019/005 015/002 023/010 023 01155332234
CTB UN 910/020 008/034 020 07000
   NJEEJ 034/010 015/902 011/910 018/008 018 01155332235
HLN UE 906/022 005/030 020 07000
   ESJEJ 036/016 029/007 020/005 024/010 024 11146433235
BZN UE 915/018 902/028 010 07200
   ESJEJ 034/009 030/002 018/001 020/006 020 21146533235
WEY UE 930/015 918/015 910 07200
   ESSEE 024/912 022/905 010/915 018/915 018 21146755346
DLN UE 915/015 005/030 015 07200
   ESJES 033/010 030/002 020/003 024/003 024 11146544346
HVR UN 919/008 909/025 018 07000
   NJEEJ 030/012 017/905 012/910 020/006 020 01155222235
LWT UN 912/011 000/034 018 04000
   NJEEJ 033/015 020/005 015/905 015/007 015 01156422235

.TFX...NONE