000 
FXUS61 KCLE 010159 AAA
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
900 PM EST THU JAN 31 2002

WL HAVE TO WATCH RAINFALL OVRNGT. RFC PREDICTING UP TO 1.5 IN. THAT 
WOULD BE ENUF TO PUT MOST RIVERS INTO MINOR FLOOD. AMOUNTS CLOSER TO 
AN INCH WOULD KEEP MOST RIVERS CLOSER TO BANKFULL. RAIN NOT HEAVY 
ATTM BUT CONVECTIVE RAIN DVLPG JUST AHD OF CDFNT OVR LWR OH VLY SO A 
PERIOD OF HEAVIER RAIN LIKELY BY AROUND 06Z NW OH MOVG E ABT 30 KTS. 
FAST MVMNT WL LIMIT QPF. WL ISSUE FLOOD WATCH FOR NW OH AND N CNTRL 
OH. THEY ARE CLOSER TO TRACK OF SFC LOW AND RAINFALL HAS ALREADY 
EXCEEDED 2 INCHES AND TERRAIN FLAT ENOUGH FOR PONDING AND LOCAL 
STREAM FLOODING. WITH RIDGE SO SHARP OVR SE STATES AND PRESSURE 
FALLS ALMOST DUE N OF SFC LOW FAVOR A TRACK CLOSER TO 18Z ETA TWRD 
LAKE ST CLAIR BY FRI MORN. DTX SOUNDING VERY WARM ALOFT AND EXPECT A 
BIT OF WARMING OVNGT ACRS NW OH SO LESS THREAT FOR FREEZING PCPN. WL 
HOPE FOR ENUF WARMING TO GET ICE OFF OF OBJECTS SINCE WIND WL PICK 
UP ON FRI WHICH COULD BRING DOWN MORE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. RISING 
TEMPS MOST EVERYWHERE OVNGT. WL HAVE TO WATCH FOR DOWNBURST WINDS 
WITH FROPA AS H8 WINDS PROGGED AS HIGH AS 60 KTS. COOLER AIR NR SFC 
SHUD LIMIT DOWNWARD TRANSFER ESP ACRS N COUNTIES AND WL NOT ISSUE 
WIND WARNINGS ATTM. NO OTHER CHANGES.

.CLE...
.OH...FFA OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-047 NW AND N 
CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 7AM FRIDAY. GALE WARNING LERI.
.PA...GALE WARNING LERI.

KOSARIK