280 
FXUS61 KBTV 172023
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
323 PM EST SAT NOV 17 2001

AREA OF HI PRESS TO BUILD OUT TO THE SE OF THE FA TONITE AND ON SUN.
STRONG CF TO SWEEP ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON SUN NITE AND MON...
THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACRS THE FA ON MON NITE AND TUE. WK HI PRESS RIDGE
TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON TUE NITE AND THEN ACRS THE FA ON
WED. A CLIPPER SYS LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE AFFECTING THE FA ON THU THRU
SAT. UPR RIDGE TO BUILD ACRS THE FA ON SUN. UPR TROF TO SWING ACRS
THE FA ON TUE NITE BEHIND THE CF. PW VALUES WITH NEXT SYS LOOK TO BE
AROUND AN INCH.

GOOD H85 WAA TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE...THEN WEAKER WAA ON
SUN. WK CAA TO DEVELOP ACRS THE FA ON SUN NITE AND CONT RIGHT THRU
MON NITE. MID-LVL DRYING TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE WITH DRY
MID-LVLS ACRS THE FA ON SUN AND SUN NITE. SOME MID-LVL MOISTURE TO
MOVE IN ACRS NY STATE BY LATE ON MON AND MON NITE. LOW-LVL MOISTURE
ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE (BEST ACRS SRN CANADA
THOUGH)...THEN MORE LOW-LVL MOISTURE ADVECTION ACRS THE FA ON LATE
SUN NITE AND EARLY ON MON. SOME LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO CLIP THE NRN TIER
ZONES BY LATE TONITE...THEN LOW-LVLS TO BE DRY ACRS THE FA ON SUN AND
EARLY SUN NITE. SOME LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO MOVE IN ACRS NY STATE BY
LATE ON SUN NITE AND MON. GOOD LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO BE LOCATED ACRS
THE FA ON LATE MON NITE THRU WED NITE. H85 TEMPS TO GO BACK ABOVE
0 DEG C ACRS THE FA BY AROUND 06Z TONITE...THEN BACK BLO 0 DEG C BY
LATER ON TUE BEHIND CF.

SAT PIX SHOW SOME MID AND UPR-LVL CLDS MOVING SE ACRS THE FA ATTM AND
HAVE ADDED MORE CLDS TO THE FORECAST FOR TONITE. DRY WX EXPECTED ACRS
THE FA THRU MON. -SHRA EXPECTED TO START TO MOVE INTO THE FA FROM THE
WEST ON MON NITE (WILL CONT BEST CHC FOR PCPN ACRS NY STATE THEN).
PCPN EXPECTED TO CHANGEOVER TO SHSN BY LATER ON TUE WITH A CONT CHC
FOR LINGERING -SHSN ON WED AND WED NITE. CLIPPER SYS SHOULD THROW
SOME MORE -SHSN ACRS THE FA SOMETIME DURING THE PERIOD FROM THU THRU
SAT...SO WILL CONT WITH A LOW CHC OF SHSN FOR THEN AS WELL.

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 PM.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY