770 
FXUS62 KILM 170751
AFDILM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, NC
251 AM EST SAT NOV 17 2001

WEAK COOL FRONT TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING 
WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO EXTEND INTO THE AREA FROM THE NE U.S. FOR THE 
REMAINDER OF THE NEAR TERM.  GOING SHORT TERM FORECAST LOOKS IN LINE 
WITH CURRENT EXPECTATIONS.

FURTHER OUT IN TIME...A MORE SIGNIFICANT FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS 
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. LATEST AVN INDICATIVE OF POSSIBLE PRECIP 
WITH THE FRONT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN RECENT HISTORY WILL KEEP POPS OUT 
OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW.  OTHER THAN TWEAKS TO CLOUD TIMING 
TUESDAY...LITTLE CHANGE ANTICIPATED TO DAYS 3-7.

CWF: WILL MAINTAIN SCA THIS AM...MAINLY FOR SEAS.  OTHER THAN 
CHANGES TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS...GOING CWF LOOKS FINE WITH 
DIMINISHING NE FLOW AND SLOWLY SUBSIDING SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH SUN.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS
FCSTID = 31
ILM   71  47  67  46 /   0   0   0   0
LBT   69  43  65  43 /   0   0   0   0
FLO   71  45  67  43 /   0   0   0   0
MYR   71  47  67  45 /   0   0   0   0

.ILM...
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

RAN