808 
FXUS64 KMRX 150734
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
330 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2001

LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT FORECAST.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH AND DRY AIRMASS CONTINUE TO
BUILD INTO AREA EARLY TODAY. MID/UPR LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM
THE WEST. STRONG CAPPING REMAINS IN 700-600 MB LAYER. SLGT CHC
AFTN TSTMS...SE TN/SW NC MTNS WITH UPSLOPE FLOW ON NC SIDE AND SOME
UPPER DIVERGENCE LATE. TEMPS A LITTLE WARMER TODAY.
UPPER RIDGE AXIS SLIDES E OF AREA ON THU WITH THE APPROACH OF
UPPER TROUGH FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVELS MODIFY QUICKLY AS THETA-E
RIDGE SLIDES IN WITH SW FLOW. MAIN UPR SW-NE ORIENTATED JET REMAINS
NW OF AREA. MID LEVEL IMPULSE MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE SW
LATE THU. WILL CARRY SLGT CHC POPS S & W. BETTER DYNAMICS AND
DEEPER MOISTURE AVAILABLE THU NGT AND FRI TO SUPPORT CHC POPS
CWA-WIDE.

PRELIMINARY S:
CHA AB 091/068 090/070 086 17012
TYS AB 090/066 090/069 085 17001
TRI AB 086/062 088/065 084 17011
OQT AB 090/066 090/069 085 17001=

.MRX...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

SON