992 
FXUS61 KBGM 150640
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
240 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2001

LOOKS LIKE A GREAT DAY ON TAP WX WISE AS A DRY SFC HI BLDS INTO THE 
REGION. LGT WINDS AND HI/S AT OR ABV NORMS.

MAINLY CLR AGAIN TNGT WITH LGT WINDS...SO FOG A PSBLTY. SOME CI IS 
LIKELY AFT MIDN.

NEXT WX MAKER IS A SHRT WV AND FNTLY SYSTEM FOR THE THU-FRI TIME PD. 
ETA/AVN/MRF ALL DFRNT IN SOLNS FOR PCPN AMT AND TIMING. ETA/S THE 
FASTEST AND WETTEST...MRF IS SLOW AND THE AVN IS THE DRIEST. 
HWVR...BOTH THE AVN AND ETA WLD BRING THE BULK OF THE SHWRS AND TRWS 
INTO THE AREA THU NGT...AND WLD JUSTIFY AN UPGRADE TO LIKELY POPS. 
WITH THE UPPER SHRT WV HANGING BACK...STILL THE PSBLTY OF SCT SHWRS 
ON FRI...BUT CHANCE POPS SEEM MORE RSNBL. IN ANY EVENT...WILL HOLD 
OFF ON ANY CHGS ATTM TO LET THE DAY CREW LOOK AT ANOTHER MODEL RUN 
INCLUDING THE NEW MRF. 

SO...ONLY MINOR CHGS TO THE FCST AT THIS UPDATE. 

.BGM...NONE.

MORFORD