067 
FXUS64 KOHX 131508
AFDBNA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
953 AM CDT MON AUG 13 2001

...REGROUP MODE AFTER UNEXPECTED MORNING PRECIP N OF I-40...

WELL...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS WEAK BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE
MID SOUTH. THE WIND SHIFT LINE IS FROM CSV-MSL-SHV...WHILE THE
DEW POINT GRADIENT IS FROM CRW-BWG. MEANWHILE THE MOST OBVIOUS
FEATURE IS THE COLD FRONT FROM DAYTON OHIO TO THE NRN OZARKS.

THE IR AND VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOPS ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW MORE
ENHANCEMENTS TO THE SHOWER ACTIVITY...AND THE ACTIVITY IS MOVING
SLOWLY  CELLS ARE MOVING SE 5 TO 10 MPH. BASED ON THE 24 HOUR
88D AND COOP REPORTS THE MAIN THREAT TODAY WILL BE MAURY...MARSHAL
AND BEDFORD COUNTIES.

THE MORNING SOUNDING WAS ONCE AGAIN MOIST AND UNSTABLE.  PWS STILL
HOVERING AROUND 2 INCHES WITH A K INDEX OF 37 AND CAPE OF 1800
JOULES/KG. WITH SLOW MOVING STORMS AND A CONVECTIVE TEMP OF ONLY
80...WILL HAVE TO WATCH RADAR...AND SATELLITE TRENDS FOR POSSIBLE
FFW.

REGARDING THE ZONE UPDATE...WILL UPDATE AS LATE AS POSSIBLE TO
ENSURE ALL OF PRECIP IS SOUTH OF ZONE GROUP 1...BUT WHEN I UPDATE
THE NASHVILLE GROUP IT WILL SAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY AND LESS
HUMID.

I WILL ALSO ADD A NEW ZONE GROUP FOR THE CLARKSVILLE...DOVER AND
SPRINGFIELD TO MAKE THEM MOSTLY SUNNY.  FORT CAMPBELL IS CURRENTLY 40
SCT 100 SCT.

THANKS THE RFC SLIDELL FOR RUNNING THE FFG EARLY FOR US.

.BNA...NONE.
JDG