000 
FXUS63 KMQT 030200
AFDMQT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1000 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2001

UPDATE CONCERN IS LOW TEMPS.

00Z WV LOOP AND RAOBS SHOWED NRLY ZONAL FLOW FROM ALBERA TO THE 
CANADIAN MARITIMES...WITH A TROUGH IN THE E PAC. QUIET EVNG ACROSS 
UPR MI WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM N MN. WINDS ARE GENERALLY 5 
KTS OR LESS AT 00Z PER SFC OBS...AND EXPECT THEM TO GO CALM 
OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE SFC HIGH. DWPTS HAVE FALLEN OFF 10 DEGREES FROM 
YESTERDAY...NOW AROUND 60F...BUT 70F DWPTS ALREADY MOVING N INTO S 
MB ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH. SIMILAR SITUATION OCCURRING AT 
850MB WITH TEMPS ABOVE 20C FROM MPX TO BIS. VIS SATL IMAGERY SHOWED 
A FEW STRAY CU PASSING QUICKLY THROUGH CNTRL UPR MI. CONVECTION DID 
GET GOING IN NE ND/NW MN AHEAD OF A SHRTWV AND THETA-E RIDGE...BUT 
HAS BEEN FIZZILING OUT AS IT HEADS E INTO THE DRY AIRMASS IN N MN 
AS SEEN ON THE 00Z KINL SDNG (K-INDEX -1). 

STRAY CU SHOULD BE OUT OF UPR MI BY 04Z PER SATL LOOP. AS FOR THE 
CNVCTN IN NE ND/NW MN...18Z ETA'S 600-500MB RH SEEMS TO HAVE THE 
BEST HANDLE ON IT. IT SUGGESTS THAT THE CLOUD IN NW MN REACHES 
INTO MY FAR WRN CWA BY 09Z...BUT SCATTERS OUT AS IT RUNS INTO THE 
DRY AIR. WL BROADBRUSH EVERYONE WITH MOSTLY CLEAR. SHOULD SEE NO 
PROBLEM WITH TEMPS FALLING TO THE DWPT OR EVEN THROUGH IT SOMEWHAT  
WITH GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SETTING UP. GOING FCST LOWS OF 55 TO 
60 SEEM REASONABLE BASED UPON CURRENT DWPTS. WITH RECENT RAINS OVER 
PARTS OF UPR MI...THERE SHOULD ALSO BE SOME PATCHY FOG TONIGHT...BUT 
DO NOT SEE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG POTENTIAL DUE TO SOME DRYING TODAY. 

.MQT...NONE.

AJ/JLB