870 
FXUS64 KLIX 271940
AFDNEW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA 
240 PM CDT FRI JUL 27 2001

WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT HAS MOVED INTO E TX THIS AFTN BUT ELY FLOW 
ABOVE 20K CONTINUES OVER THE GULF COAST REGION. MODELS AS VERIFIED 
BY SATELLITE AND RADAR THIS AFTN SHOWS SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS 
ADVECTING SLOWLY WWD ESPECIALLY ABOVE 10K. THUS...LESS COVERAGE IN
SHOWERS OVER THE CWA THIS AFTN. THIS TREND EXPECTED THRU THE WEEKEND.
MODELS NOT TOO DIFFERENT IN POPS OR TEMPS TODAY. SUFFICIENT PWS...
K-INDICES SO THAT WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND A SEA BREEZE INFLUENCE 
SCT AFTN/EARLY EVE SHOWERS AND TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE REGION 
THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING A 
STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO WRN CUBA BY MIDDLE OF THE WEEK 
AND INTO THE MIDDLE GULF BY LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD BRING AN 
INCREASE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE AND HIGHER POPS BACK TO THE CENTRAL 
GULF COAST REGION. TEMPS WILL REMAIN SEASONAL.

MCB 72/89/72/89 2414  BTR 74/89/74/90 1414
MSY 75/90/74/90 1414  GPT 74/90/74/90 1414

.NEW..NONE.                                        
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
05