000 
FXUS64 KOHX 181446
AFDBNA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
945 AM CDT WED JUL 18 2001

CURRENTLY...ORGANIZED CONVECTION FROM IL COMPLEX SLOWLY WEAKENING
AS IT MOVES SWARD. SATELLITE LOOPS SHOWING WARMING TOPS AND NEWEST
AVAILABLE MODEL DATA PROGGING WEAK LL JET EWARD...ESSENTIALLY
DECREASING GOOD INFLOW INTO LEFTOVER PRECIP.

EXPECT TSTMS TO BE SCATTERED IN NATURE THIS AFTERNOON AS HEATING
COMBINES WITH NUMEROUS EXISTING CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES AND HIGHER
INSTABILITY. PLATEAU EXPECTED TO REMAIN AREA OF HIGHER TSTM
PROBABILITY...TAILING OFF TOWARD THE SW. SHOULD BE FAIRLY LARGE
TEMP GRADIENT AND WILL CHECK 15Z MTS'S FOR SLIGHT TWEAKS.

07
.BNA...NONE.