000 
FXUS64 KEWX 131902
AFDSAT

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
200 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2001

THE "RING OF FIRE" GETTING CLOSER.  THE ETA HAS THE WEAK COLD FRONT 
DRIFTING INTO THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES SATURDAY EVENING AND WASHING 
OUT BY SUNDAY.  BUT THE AVN KEEP THE UPPER HIGH TOO STRONG THROUGH 
SATURDAY THUS SUPPRESSING INCOMING ACTIVITY.  FEEL THE BEST CHANCES 
WILL BE AN MCS DEVELOPING ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES SATURDAY 
EVENING, MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO TEXAS ON THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY 
SATURDAY NIGHT, AND CLIPPING OR MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES 
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  WILL WORD FORECAST AS SUCH.  THIS IS BASED ON 
THE WEAKEST AREA OF THE RIDGE.  BEYOND THIS THE USUAL ESCARPMENT 
STRATUS WILL REDEVELOP CLOSE TO SUNRISE AND THE SEABREEZE WINDS WILL 
PENETRATE INLAND OVERNIGHT.  FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK, THE UPPER 
HIGH SHIFTS THE NORTH AND ALLOWS AN EASTERLY FLOW CLOSE TO THE 
SOUTHERN MOST COUNTIES.  SO EXPECTING SOME SEABREEZE ACTIVITY OVER 
THE COUNTIES CLOSEST TO THE COASTLINE WEDNESDAY. A WEAK EASTERLY 
WAVE MOVES ONSHORE THURSDAY BRING A CAHNCE OF SHOWERS THURSDAY AND 
FRIDAY.  STILL HOT AND DRY OUT WEST. 
#

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
AUS 73  98 75  96   0123
DRT 78 102 77 102   0000
SAT 75 100 75  98   00-2

.EWX...NONE.


06/05/23/DC