000 
FXUS64 KOHX 070837
AFDBNA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
240 AM CST SUN JAN 7 2001

CURRENT...CI STREAMING IN FROM THE SW BUT ONLY THICK ACROSS SW 
SECTIONS. TEMPS IN WIDE RANGE...UPPER 20S SHELTERED AREAS TO NEAR 40 
(BNA) WHERE S FLOW STARTING TO KICK IN.

FORECAST...AVN AND NGM MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON POP CHANCES FOR CWA 
W/ THIS NEXT SYSTEM. BEST CHANCES REMAIN OVER S AND E SECTIONS. 
PRE-FRONTAL TROF WILL APPROACH PLATEAU BY 00Z AND THEN CAA TAKES
OVER AS FRONT BARRELS THRU. BIG CHANGE IN OVERALL PATTERN AS UPPER 
TROF CARVED OUT OVER EASTERN STATES BY 48 HRS...BACK TO THE COLD WX.

WILL BASICALLY LEAVE FORECAST AS IS BUT LOWER POPS A LITTLE 
EVERYWHERE. COULD BE SOME FLURRIES MON NITE W/ VORT MAX DROPPING 
DOWN BUT WILL LEAVE OUT FOR NOW.

AS FOR TEMPS...CANT BELIEVE THE 59 FOR BNA TDA...WAY TOO WARM. 
OTHERWISE FWC LOOKS GOOD. WILL LOWER HI TEMPS FOR TUE.

BNA CC 50/29/34/21 2311
CSV CM 49/29/33/16 2511

.BNA...NONE.

MAG