875 
FXUS63 KICT 012125
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...FINAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
320 PM CST WED NOV 1 2000

TONIGHT-THU NIGHT:
COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MAKE IT TO THE GULF COAST BY FRIDAY 
MORNING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS. THIS 
SHOULD RESULT IN COOLER WEATHER. FRONT SHOULDNT MAKE IT INTO SE KS 
UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL 
KS...LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD DROP INTO THE LOW 30S...WITH 45-50 SE. WILL 
UNDERCUT NGMMOS TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT BY A FEW DEGREES WITH 
58/32--CEN AND 66/35--SE. WITH STRONG LOW OVER BAJA...HIGH CLOUDS 
MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT SC/SE KS BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. 

FRIDAY-SAT:
850 TEMPS COOL TO BETWEEN 2 AND 6C. WITH ONLY SLIGHT VERTICAL 
MIXING...HIGHS SHOULD ONLY TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE AREA.
HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD ALSO INHIBIT WARMING IN SE KS. SLIGHT WARMUP IS 
EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH SW WINDS.

EXTENDED:
SUNDAY LOOKS COOL AND RAINY WITH A CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM. THE 
TRUE WARM SECTOR WILL STAY WELL TO THE SOUTH IN TEXAS ON SUNDAY WITH 
WARM ADVECTION RAINS/STORMS OVER EASTERN KANSAS. THUS...TEMPS 
SHOULDNT RECOVER MUCH HIGHER THAN THE 50S. MRF/CANADIAN/UKMET SHOW A 
MAJOR CHANGE TO COLDER WEATHER BY LATE MONDAY.  MAJOR PLAYERS WILL 
BE AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AT 72 HOURS. THE DEGREE 
OF DIGGING OF THIS TROUGH AND SUBSEQUENT PHASING WITH BAJA ARE THE 
MAJOR VARIABLES. THE UKMET DIGS THE SYSTEM OVER BAJA WHILE THE 
MRF/CANADIAN DROP ENERGY MUCH FURTHER EAST. FOR RIGHT NOW WE WILL GO 
WITH THE UKMET SCENARIO KEEP A DRY FCST GOING FOR MON/TUE. KEEP IN 
MIND THOUGH THAT FROZEN PRECIPITATION WOULDNT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION 
FOR CENTRAL KANSAS IF THE CANADIAN/MRF VERIFY. ONE THING FOR SURE IS 
THAT COLDER WEATHER IS ON THE WAY--REGARDLESS OF THE MODEL CHOICE. 
UKMET/CANADIAN/MRF ALL SHOW THICKNESSES IN THE 530S AND 540S BY 00 
TUE. TUE HIGHS IN THE 40S/50S LOOK APPROPRIATE.

COORD: TOP/DDC

FCSTID = 2/FINCH

ICT   40  64  36  58 /   0   0   0   0
HUT   40  61  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
EWK   40  63  36  58 /   0   0   0   0
EQA   40  64  37  59 /   0   0   0   0
WLD   40  64  37  59 /   0   0   0   0
RSL   35  58  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
GBD   35  59  33  57 /   0   0   0   0
SLN   40  59  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
MPR   40  61  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
CFV   47  65  39  58 /  20   0   0   0
CNU   47  65  38  58 /  20   0   0   0
K88   47  65  38  58 /  20   0   0   0

.ICT...
KS...NONE.