000 
FXUS64 KLUB 012019
AFDLBB

SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK, TX
230 PM CST WED NOV 1 2000

STRAIGHT FORWARD FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. COLD OVERNIGHT 
TEMPS EXPECTED WITH MOST AREAS DIPPING INTO THE 30S EXCEPT THE 
SOUTHEAST FA. HIGHS THURSDAY EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN 
TODAY/S. DESPITE STRONG WEST WINDS TODAY AND LACK OF CLOUDS...HIGH 
TEMPERATURES ARE SLOW TO WARM UP THIS AFTERNOON. NO REAL CHANGE AT 
H85 FOR TOMORROW AS FAR AS TEMPS CONCERNED. HOWEVER... SFC WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED TO HAVE AN EASTERLY COMPONENT. 

BY THU EVENING...THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE NW U.S. THIS 
AFTERNOON  WILL DIVE INTO PLACE /NEAR NORTHERN BAJA...SRN CA..WRN 
AZ/ AND CUT OFF THU NIGHT. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS WEST TEXAS 
AND THE COOL AIR AT THE SFC AND EAST WINDS WILL COMBINE TO BRING A 
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND INCREASING CLOUDS TO THE AREA THU NIGHT AND 
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. LOWS FRI MORNING WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER DUE 
TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER. HIGHS WILL ALSO BE LOWER BECAUSE OF THIS 
AND EAST WINDS.

SOME DIFFICULTIES IN PICKING OUT WHICH EXTENDED MODEL TO FOLLOW. 
AFTER LOOKING AT THE PMDEPD AND ENSEMBLE MAPS...HAVE TO AGREE THAT 
MRF IS A LITTLE TO GRIM FOR THE FA. EXPECT THE NEXT SYSTEM TO FILL 
IN AROUND THE SW U.S. SUNDAY/MONDAY. THIS WILL ALSO KEEP THE MRF 
COLD FRONT OUT OF THE AREA. IT MAY STILL BE COOL BUT CURRENT 
THINKING IS THAT FREEZING OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL WAIT UNTIL AFTER 
MONDAY/TUESDAY. 


FRIONA       34/61/38/52   0023
TULIA        34/61/39/52   0023
CHILDRESS    38/64/43/58   0013
BROWNFIELD   36/64/45/56   0024
LUBBOCK      36/63/44/55   0023
ASPERMONT    42/65/46/60   0024

.LUB...NONE.
AC