000 
FXUS63 KFSD 010924 COR
AFDFSD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
320 AM CST WED NOV 1 2000

BAND OF SHWRS/TSTMS LEADING DRY SLOT MOVG THRU EARLY THIS MRNG.
MORE REDVLPMT EXPCD IN ERN CWA IN THE AFTN AS SLY FLW OF LOW LVL
MOISTURE LINGERS THERE...BUT NOT REALLY LIKE EARLY THIS MRNG.
DRY SLOT SHOULD PRECLUDE MUCH IF ANY REDVLPMT IN WRN TWO THIRDS
CWA TDA. MODELS HAVE CLIMATOLOGICAL COOL BIAS IN MOST OF CWA AND
WILL GO NR RECORD HIGHS FM UPR 60S TO MID 70S IN SERN TWO THIRDS
OF CWA. ALSO BIG PROBLEM IS STG SLY WNDS OF AT LEAST 20 TO 35 MPH
EXPCD IN ERN TWO THIRDS CWA...AS PROFILERS SHOW NR 50 KT WINDS ABV
SFC. GRADIENT MAY RELAX A LIT BY TIME OF MAX MIXING...SO WILL LEAVE
ANY WIND ADVY FOR NEXT SHIFT TO PONDER. WRAPAROUND EXPCD TO BRING
BACK CLDS AND A CHC SHWRS FM NW TO SE OVR CWA LATER TNGT INTO THU.
PREV FCST A LIT ON THE WARM SIDE...DESPITE LACK OF COLD AIR BEHIND
.SYS...BUT STILL SHOULD BE WARMER THAN GUID. EXTD NOT REALLY A
PROBLEM ATTM.

.FSD...NONE
RYRHOLM