000 
FXUS64 KTSA 010808
AFDTUL

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
310 AM CDT FRI SEP 1 2000

ABOUT THE ONLY ITEM TO NOTE THAT IS DIFFERENT IN THIS FORECAST IS
THAT A NEW MONTH HAS STARTED...OTHERWISE VERY HOT CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE. RECORD HIGHS WILL BE CHALLENGED HERE AND THERE OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS WELL.

CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT SERVED AS A FOCUS FOR STORMS YESTERDAY IN AR
AND LA MAY MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER WEST PER ETA TODAY...BUT NGM AND
AVN ARE LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS FEATURE. EITHER WAY...COVERAGE
LOOKS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN ZONES...SO WILL CONTINUE WITH DRY
FORECAST. CIRRUS SHIELD TO PUSH EAST TODAY ACROSS THE FA...SO WILL
GO WITH SUNNY FOR SATURDAY BEFORE NEXT UPPER LEVEL RH MAX FLIRTS
WITH THE FA. DO NOT THINK HIGH CLOUDS WILL IMPACT TEMPS MUCH(IF AT
ALL)...THOUGH A CLOUD FREE SATURDAY MAY PUSH MANY LOCATIONS
(PARTICULARLY WRN ZONES)UP ANOTHER DEGREE OR SO.

WILL KEEP HOT CONDITIONS GOING THROUGH HOLIDAY WEEKEND. PREVIOUS
PACKAGE HAS SOME COOLER TEMPS FOR TUESDAY...BUT HAVE NOT SEEN MUCH
TO CONVINCE ME OF A COOL DOWN THAT SOON. MAY NEED TO UP TEMPS FOR
TUESDAY BUT WILL GET A PEEK AT NEW MRF BEFORE ZONES ARE SENT.


SOME RECORD HIGHS FOR THE NEXT 4 DAYS INCLUDE:

                  TODAY       2ND        3RD        4TH

TULSA            105/1985   109/1939   109/1939   107/1998
MCALESTER        103/1989   103/1954   104/1954   110/1998
FORT SMITH       105/1947   107/1939   105/1954   109/1998
FAYETTEVILLE      98/1951    99/1954   102/1954   103/1998


FCSTID = 23
TUL  106  74 107  75 /   0   0   0   0
FSM  109  71 109  72 /   0   0   0   0
MLC  108  72 108  72 /   0   0   0   0
BVO  108  68 109  68 /   0   0   0   0
FYV  102  64 102  66 /   0   0   0   0
BYV  103  65 103  67 /   0   0   0   0
MIO  105  69 106  69 /   0   0   0   0
MKO  106  74 107  74 /   0   0   0   0
F10  106  73 107  73 /   10   0   0   0
HHW  108  72 108  72 /   0   0   0   0

.TUL...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.