000 
FXUS63 KICT 250813
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
315 AM CDT TUE JUL 25 2000

NW FLOW PERSISTS AND FOCUS WILL REMAIN ON STORM CHCS AND MAX TEMPS.
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER LOW ACROSS ND WITH MID 
LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  
MEANWHILE...UPPER RIDGE CHARACTERIZED BY ABUNDANT SUBTROPICAL 
MOISTURE IS NOW MAKING SOME SLIGHT PROGRESS EAST INTO THE HIGH 
PLAINS THIS MORNING. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE MID LEVEL TROUGH 
PROGRESSIVE ACROSS KS/NEB ALLOWING FOR PTCLDY SKIES AFTER WHATEVER 
DEVELOPS AND AFFECTS THE CWA THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE...THE 850 
THETAE RIDGE EXTENDS NORTH/SOUTH ACROSS KS WITH 35KT LLJ SHOULD DRAW 
STORMS SOUTH THIS MORNING...AND IMPRESSIVE 850/700 VEERING/WAA 
SHOULD ALSO ALLOW THE STORMS TO PERSIST IN SOME FORM OR ANOTHER INTO 
SUNRISE.  

FOR TODAY...AFTER A ROUND OF SCATTERED STORMS THIS A.M. SHOULD SEE 
PTCLDY SKIES AND MAX TEMPS AROUND  YESTERDAY/S. NGM MOS APPEARS 
REASONABLE AND WILL GENERALLY FOLLOW THROUGH THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. 

TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH ANY SFC/850 BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN NORTH OF 
AREA...THE ORIENTATION OF TH 850 THETAE AXIS ACROSS NEBRASKA AND THE 
LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW WOULD ARGUE FOR STORMS TO FIRE ACROSS WESTERN 
NEB AND TRAVEL ESE BEFORE DIVING SOUTH INTO KS TONIGHT.  WILL KEEP 
STORMS CHANCES GOING ALL AREAS OVERNIGHT.

WEDS...OVERALL REGIME PERSISTS AND WILL CONTINUE A SLIGHT CHC 
WORDING WITH CURRENT FCST AND NGM GUIDANCE TEMPS LOOKING GOOD. NO 
CHANGES WEDS NIGHT WITH MORE STORMS POSSIBLE.

EXTENDED...NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS WITH SOME VARIATION IN THE 
LONGWAVE DETAILS BUT WILL NOT CHANGE THE GOING FCST FROM THURSDAY 
AND BEYOND WITH A CHANCE FOR STORMS EACH DAY UNTIL THERE IS SOME 
GREATER SHIFT IN THE LONGWAVE PATTERN.

FCSTID = 11
ICT   88  67  89  70 /  30  30  20  30
HUT   88  67  90  69 /  20  30  20  30
EWK   88  68  90  70 /  30  30  20  30
EQA   88  68  89  69 /  30  30  20  30
WLD   88  67  89  68 /  30  30  20  30
RSL   87  66  90  68 /  30  30  20  30
GBD   87  67  90  68 /  30  30  20  30
SLN   88  67  91  68 /  40  30  20  30
MPR   88  67  90  68 /  30  30  20  30
CFV   86  65  87  6%8 /  20  20  20  20
CNU   85  65  87  68 /  20  20  20  20
K88   85  66  87  68 /  20  20  20  20

.ICT...NONE.