508 
FXUS64 KMAF 230921
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
421 AM CDT FRI JUN 23 2000

LOTS OF ACTIVITY TO THE SW TONIGHT W/TWO MCSS IN OLD MEX MOVG N
ALONG PERIPHERY OF HIGH ALOFT OVER THE GULF COAST.  SATELLITE
SHOWS CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE PAST FEW HRS...BUT IT
WILL NOT BE SURPRISING IF THESE MAKE IT ACROSS THE RIVER
BEFORE SUNRISE.  FURTHER S...CARLOTTA CHURNS NW PUSHING MSTR THIS
WAY. THUS WILL KEEP HIGHEST CHANCES OF CONVECTION IN THE SRN ZONES
TODAY AND TONIGHT.  WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE RIVER OVER THE NEXT 6-12
HRS...AS THE RIO CONCHOS WILL PROBABLY SEE SIGNIFICANT RISES.  MODELS
ADVERTISE LEE SIDE SFC LOW TO SLIDE SLOWLY SE INTO THE TX PANHANDLE
TONIGHT...AND WILL GO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS NRN AREAS AS A RESULT.
W/HIGH THETA ES/PWATS...FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN
CONCERN.  WILL EMPHASIZE THIS IN THE ZONES.  SHOULD SEE HIGH
CLOUDINESS MOVG UP FROM THE S AS WELL TODAY...AND ONLY EXPECT A TEMPS
A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY AS A RESULT...AND WARMER
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY NRN AREAS...AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM SW
CONUS.  NEW AVN GUIDANCE IS TOAST...NOT GRASPING THESE HIGHER
DEWPOINTS AND THUS GOING HOG WILD ON TEMPS ALL PDS.  NEW MRF NOT MUCH
DIFFERENT THAN PREVIOUS...AND WILL MAKE NO SIG CHANGES TO THE
EXTENDED.

THE PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE BELOW IS FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES ONLY.
OFFICIAL FORECASTS ARE CONTAINED WITHIN THE WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO ZONE FORECAST.

MAF  92/67/96/68    1311
LSA  90/65/95/66    2311
E41  91/68/94/67    1311
6R6  91/69/90/70    2321
MRF  83/62/84/63    4422
CNM  93/68/97/67    1311

.MAF...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

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