304 
FXUS61 KBGM 161800
AFDBGM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
210 PM EDT FRI JUN 16 2000

CONVECTION FORMING ACRS ROUGHLY THE SRN 2/3 OF THE CWA THIS AFTN. 
XPCT THAT MOST WIDESPREAD DVLPMT WILL RUN FROM THE UPPER OH VLY INTO NW
PA AND PERHAPS WRN NYS DURG THE NEXT 6 HRS OR SO AS THIS RGN WILL LIE
CLOSER TO SFC FRNT AND BETTER DYNAMICS ALOFT.  STILL THO...OBVIOUSLY
ENUF INSTAB OUT THERE FOR SCTD SHWRS/TSTMS AND WILL ADD A THRU ERLY
EVE PD TO COVER THIS ACTIVITY.  

MODELS AGREE THAT COOL FRNT WILL BEGIN IMPINGING ON OUR NWRN ZNS TWDS
12Z WITH SOME PCPN DVLPMT PSBL IN ADVANCE OF IT.  THUS...WILL MAINTAIN
POPS VERY LT TNT IN OUR FAR NRN/WRN ZNS.  ELSEWHERE...WILL TAPER THINGS
DOWN OVRNT AFTER CONVECTION FADES THIS EVE.  

SAT...ABV MENTIONED FRNT SAGS THRU DURG THE DAY FROM NW TO SE.  ALTHO
S/WV FORCING AND UPPER JET DYNAMICS ARE LACKING...LL MCON IN HI THETA-E
ENVIR SHUD BE SUFFICIENT FOR FAIRLY WIDESPREAD SHWRS WITH EMBEDDED
TSRA.  POPS BUMPED UP TO LKLY CAT.  EMPHASIZED AM HRS NRN/WRN ZNS WITH
ERLYR FROPA ANTICIPATED AND MORE TWDS THE AFTN ACRS FAR SERN SXNS.

SAT NGT DRIES OUT AS WK SFC HI BLDS ACRS THE FA.  ON SUN...WILL AGN
ATTEMPT TO FCST RAIN-FREE WX AS AVN HOLDS PCPN WITH NEXT WV OFF TIL THE
EVE HRS.

WRK ZNS ARE ON THE STREET.  FINALS WIBIS BETWEEN 3 AND 330.

.BGM...NONE.

JUREWICZ
   



 

 



 



 


 

 







 

 



 

 

 
 







 

 



 


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