132 
FXUS62 KMLB 161411
AFDMLB
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1010 AM EDT FRI JUN 16 2000

LATEST SFC OBS/ANALYSIS PLACE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS NEAR THE 
GA/SC BORDER.  THE RESULTING SE STEERING FLOW WILL KEEP SHRA 
CLUSTERS OVER THE NRN COASTAL WATERS MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COAST.  
ECSB HAS ALREADY FORMED AND IS PUSHING INLAND.  ISOLD SHRA ALONG THE 
BOUNDARY FROM BREVARD TO MARTIN SHOULD PUSH INTO THE INTERIOR BY 
AFTERNOON.  10Z KXMR SOUNDING QUITE A BIT MOISTER THAN THE 22Z.  
HOWEVER...SUSPECT THAT VCNTY SHRAS AT OB TIME MAY BE STACKING THE PW 
VALUES A BIT AS THERE IS COMPARTIVELY LITTLE PRECIP OVER THE SRN 
COASTAL WATERS. 

WILL UPDATE TO INCLUDE MINIMAL POPS OVER COASTAL AND OKEECHOBEE 
COUNTIES...WITH COASTAL COUNTY PRECIP ENDING AROUND MIDDAY.

MARINE...CURRENT FCST LOOKS FINE...ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS 
ANTICIPATED.  

FIRE WEATHER...TBW AND XMR SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE A DECENT AMOUNT OF 
DRYING IN THE H8-H7 LAYER...ALTHOUGH ONSHORE SOUTHEAST WINDS SHOULD 
CONTINUE TO PULL IN DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL ATLANTIC MOISTURE. RH 
VALUES REMAIN IN THE 65-70 PERCENT RANGE AS OF 14Z...AND WILL 
CONTINUE TO EVALUATE AREA OBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS BEFORE DECIDING TO 
DROP THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

.MLB...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON LAKE...SEMINOLE...ORANGE... 
OSCEOLA AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAGAW
AVIATION/FIRE WX...TROUTMAN