000 
FXUS64 KBMX 170844
AFDBHM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
243 AM CST FRI MAR 17 2000

COLD FRONT SOUTH OF AREA NOW WITH LOW CLOUDS SPREADING SOUTH.
NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW OVER CENTRAL TEXAS ALREADY PRODUCING TSRA
ACROSS E TEXAS.  ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL START TO INCREASE TONIGHT BUT
UPPER TROUGH WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT SWINGS NE THROUGH AREA ON
SATURDAY.  BIG DIFFERNCES IN MOS WITH NGM HAVING NO POPS AND AVN
LIKELY POPS. WILL GO IN BETWEEN WITH CHANCE CATEGORY WHICH WILL BE IN
LINE WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST.  A SECOND TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON
SUNDAY SO WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  MOS TEMPS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT BUT PREFERRED WA"RMER
MINIMUM TEMPS OF AVN DUE TO EXPECTED CLOUD COVER. 67

HSV EE 056/040 058/044 055 670-3
BHM EE 063/045 060/048 058 670-4
MGM EE 069/047 064/050 063 670-5=

.BHM...NONE.

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